Recent official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models indicate an overnight low of 24–25°C in Incheon on August 29, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderate southwesterly flow that limits radiational cooling. High humidity near 85–95% and light winds under 10 km/h will further suppress temperature drops, consistent with late-August climatology where typical minima hover near 23–25°C. Trader consensus reflected in the 46% and 26% implied probabilities for 25°C and 24°C aligns with this consensus range, while lower-probability outcomes would require clearer skies or stronger northerly advection not currently indicated in model runs. Updated guidance is expected overnight as new model cycles incorporate the latest observations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 29?
25°C 46%
24°C 26%
26°C 7%
22°C 5%
19°C or below
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
5%
23°C
12%
24°C
26%
25°C
46%
26°C
7%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
1%
25°C 46%
24°C 26%
26°C 7%
22°C 5%
19°C or below
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
5%
23°C
12%
24°C
26%
25°C
46%
26°C
7%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models indicate an overnight low of 24–25°C in Incheon on August 29, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderate southwesterly flow that limits radiational cooling. High humidity near 85–95% and light winds under 10 km/h will further suppress temperature drops, consistent with late-August climatology where typical minima hover near 23–25°C. Trader consensus reflected in the 46% and 26% implied probabilities for 25°C and 24°C aligns with this consensus range, while lower-probability outcomes would require clearer skies or stronger northerly advection not currently indicated in model runs. Updated guidance is expected overnight as new model cycles incorporate the latest observations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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