Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts have locked in an 18°C minimum for Tokyo on May 17 under a stable high-pressure ridge driving southerly warm advection that suppresses nocturnal radiative cooling over the Kanto Plain. Successive model runs have kept the projected low within a tight 1°C band, giving traders high confidence in the official Haneda Airport observation that resolves the market. This aligns with mid-May climatology when clear, subsiding air masses typically produce overnight lows near 17–19°C. The only realistic shifts would require an abrupt late-cycle model correction or an unforecasted localized cooling pocket, both of which remain low-probability given current synoptic stability.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Tokyo on May 17?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on May 17?
18°C 99.6%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$15,768 Обс.
$15,768 Обс.
May 17, 2026
14°C or below
1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
100%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
18°C 99.6%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$15,768 Обс.
$15,768 Обс.
May 17, 2026
14°C or below
$1,131 Обс.
1%
15°C
$1,499 Обс.
<1%
16°C
$823 Обс.
<1%
17°C
$1,264 Обс.
<1%
18°C
$3,487 Обс.
100%
19°C
$1,778 Обс.
<1%
20°C
$3,776 Обс.
<1%
21°C
$564 Обс.
<1%
22°C
$382 Обс.
<1%
23°C
$688 Обс.
<1%
24°C or higher
$396 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts have locked in an 18°C minimum for Tokyo on May 17 under a stable high-pressure ridge driving southerly warm advection that suppresses nocturnal radiative cooling over the Kanto Plain. Successive model runs have kept the projected low within a tight 1°C band, giving traders high confidence in the official Haneda Airport observation that resolves the market. This aligns with mid-May climatology when clear, subsiding air masses typically produce overnight lows near 17–19°C. The only realistic shifts would require an abrupt late-cycle model correction or an unforecasted localized cooling pocket, both of which remain low-probability given current synoptic stability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ET
Обсяг
$15,768Дата завершення
May 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts have locked in an 18°C minimum for Tokyo on May 17 under a stable high-pressure ridge driving southerly warm advection that suppresses nocturnal radiative cooling over the Kanto Plain. Successive model runs have kept the projected low within a tight 1°C band, giving traders high confidence in the official Haneda Airport observation that resolves the market. This aligns with mid-May climatology when clear, subsiding air masses typically produce overnight lows near 17–19°C. The only realistic shifts would require an abrupt late-cycle model correction or an unforecasted localized cooling pocket, both of which remain low-probability given current synoptic stability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$15,768Дата завершення
May 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTJapan Meteorological Agency forecasts have locked in an 18°C minimum for Tokyo on May 17 under a stable high-pressure ridge driving southerly warm advection that suppresses nocturnal radiative cooling over the Kanto Plain. Successive model runs have kept the projected low within a tight 1°C band, giving traders high confidence in the official Haneda Airport observation that resolves the market. This aligns with mid-May climatology when clear, subsiding air masses typically produce overnight lows near 17–19°C. The only realistic shifts would require an abrupt late-cycle model correction or an unforecasted localized cooling pocket, both of which remain low-probability given current synoptic stability.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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