Minnesota's political environment and Democratic structural advantages anchor trader consensus around Peggy Flanagan in this open-seat contest following Tina Smith's retirement. As the sitting lieutenant governor, Flanagan secured her party's nomination with nearly 59 percent in the August 11 primary, demonstrating broad DFL support and statewide visibility that contrasts with Michele Tafoya's status as a first-time Republican candidate who prevailed in her primary with 52 percent. Historical voting patterns in Minnesota federal races and the party's organizational edge further reinforce the implied probability reflected in current pricing. Late-campaign developments such as unexpected national shifts, turnout surprises, or major candidate-specific events could still narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоMinnesota Senate Election Winner
Minnesota Senate Election Winner
$47,494 Обс.
$47,494 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Peggy Flanagan (D)
91%
Michele Tafoya (R)
9%
$47,494 Обс.
$47,494 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Peggy Flanagan (D)
$31,632 Обс.
91%
Michele Tafoya (R)
$15,862 Обс.
9%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Minnesota's political environment and Democratic structural advantages anchor trader consensus around Peggy Flanagan in this open-seat contest following Tina Smith's retirement. As the sitting lieutenant governor, Flanagan secured her party's nomination with nearly 59 percent in the August 11 primary, demonstrating broad DFL support and statewide visibility that contrasts with Michele Tafoya's status as a first-time Republican candidate who prevailed in her primary with 52 percent. Historical voting patterns in Minnesota federal races and the party's organizational edge further reinforce the implied probability reflected in current pricing. Late-campaign developments such as unexpected national shifts, turnout surprises, or major candidate-specific events could still narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Ринок відкрито: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
Обсяг
$47,494Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Minnesota's political environment and Democratic structural advantages anchor trader consensus around Peggy Flanagan in this open-seat contest following Tina Smith's retirement. As the sitting lieutenant governor, Flanagan secured her party's nomination with nearly 59 percent in the August 11 primary, demonstrating broad DFL support and statewide visibility that contrasts with Michele Tafoya's status as a first-time Republican candidate who prevailed in her primary with 52 percent. Historical voting patterns in Minnesota federal races and the party's organizational edge further reinforce the implied probability reflected in current pricing. Late-campaign developments such as unexpected national shifts, turnout surprises, or major candidate-specific events could still narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Обсяг
$47,494Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Minnesota's political environment and Democratic structural advantages anchor trader consensus around Peggy Flanagan in this open-seat contest following Tina Smith's retirement. As the sitting lieutenant governor, Flanagan secured her party's nomination with nearly 59 percent in the August 11 primary, demonstrating broad DFL support and statewide visibility that contrasts with Michele Tafoya's status as a first-time Republican candidate who prevailed in her primary with 52 percent. Historical voting patterns in Minnesota federal races and the party's organizational edge further reinforce the implied probability reflected in current pricing. Late-campaign developments such as unexpected national shifts, turnout surprises, or major candidate-specific events could still narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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