The late withdrawal of incumbent Republican Senator Steve Daines just before the March 2026 filing deadline, coupled with his endorsement of former U.S. Attorney Kurt Alme, has cleared the Republican primary path and strengthened that party's position in the open-seat contest. Alme has secured early endorsements and raised over one million dollars, aligning with Montana's recent Republican lean in statewide races. Independent candidate Seth Bodnar, the former University of Montana president, has matched that fundraising pace while collecting signatures to qualify for the November ballot, appealing to voters open to alternatives. Democrats, led by primary contenders such as Reilly Neill, remain hampered by limited combined resources and a June 2 primary that must produce a unified nominee. These dynamics underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоMontana Senate Election Winner
Montana Senate Election Winner
Republican 78%
Independent 17.5%
Democrat 2.1%
$72,988 Обс.
$72,988 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
78%
Independent
18%
Democrat
2%
Republican 78%
Independent 17.5%
Democrat 2.1%
$72,988 Обс.
$72,988 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
$37,499 Обс.
78%
Independent
$1,575 Обс.
18%
Democrat
$33,914 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Montana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.The late withdrawal of incumbent Republican Senator Steve Daines just before the March 2026 filing deadline, coupled with his endorsement of former U.S. Attorney Kurt Alme, has cleared the Republican primary path and strengthened that party's position in the open-seat contest. Alme has secured early endorsements and raised over one million dollars, aligning with Montana's recent Republican lean in statewide races. Independent candidate Seth Bodnar, the former University of Montana president, has matched that fundraising pace while collecting signatures to qualify for the November ballot, appealing to voters open to alternatives. Democrats, led by primary contenders such as Reilly Neill, remain hampered by limited combined resources and a June 2 primary that must produce a unified nominee. These dynamics underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Montana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Ринок відкрито: Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
Обсяг
$72,988Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Montana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.The late withdrawal of incumbent Republican Senator Steve Daines just before the March 2026 filing deadline, coupled with his endorsement of former U.S. Attorney Kurt Alme, has cleared the Republican primary path and strengthened that party's position in the open-seat contest. Alme has secured early endorsements and raised over one million dollars, aligning with Montana's recent Republican lean in statewide races. Independent candidate Seth Bodnar, the former University of Montana president, has matched that fundraising pace while collecting signatures to qualify for the November ballot, appealing to voters open to alternatives. Democrats, led by primary contenders such as Reilly Neill, remain hampered by limited combined resources and a June 2 primary that must produce a unified nominee. These dynamics underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Montana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Обсяг
$72,988Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The late withdrawal of incumbent Republican Senator Steve Daines just before the March 2026 filing deadline, coupled with his endorsement of former U.S. Attorney Kurt Alme, has cleared the Republican primary path and strengthened that party's position in the open-seat contest. Alme has secured early endorsements and raised over one million dollars, aligning with Montana's recent Republican lean in statewide races. Independent candidate Seth Bodnar, the former University of Montana president, has matched that fundraising pace while collecting signatures to qualify for the November ballot, appealing to voters open to alternatives. Democrats, led by primary contenders such as Reilly Neill, remain hampered by limited combined resources and a June 2 primary that must produce a unified nominee. These dynamics underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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