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Політика·Первинні

NY-10 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for NY-10 Democratic Primary Winner
Політика·Первинні

NY-10 Democratic Primary Winner

Brad Lander 83%

Dan Goldman 19%

Cameron Kasky <1%

Alexa Avilés <1%

Polymarket

$11,942 Обс.

Brad Lander 83%

Dan Goldman 19%

Cameron Kasky <1%

Alexa Avilés <1%

Polymarket

$11,942 Обс.

Brad Lander

$4,962 Обс.

83%

Dan Goldman

$2,469 Обс.

19%

Cameron Kasky

$1,591 Обс.

<1%

Alexa Avilés

$1,608 Обс.

<1%

Yuh-Line Niou

$1,313 Обс.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus in the NY-10 Democratic primary heavily favors Brad Lander at 83% implied probability, reflecting consistent polling leads over incumbent Dan Goldman, including a May 7 Schoen Cooperman survey (pro-Goldman super PAC) showing Lander ahead 47%-42% among likely voters. Lander benefits from progressive endorsements like NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani and Our Revolution, bolstering his appeal in this deep-blue district spanning Lower Manhattan and Brooklyn waterfront areas. Goldman counters with Gov. Kathy Hochul's backing, union rallies on May 11, and over $1 million in self-funding pledged since April, yet polls indicate limited traction. Minor candidates like Cameron Kasky trail far behind amid a cleared progressive lane. The June 23 primary remains competitive, with turnout and late spending key variables.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$11,942
Дата завершення
Jun 23, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Nov 25, 2025, 3:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus in the NY-10 Democratic primary heavily favors Brad Lander at 83% implied probability, reflecting consistent polling leads over incumbent Dan Goldman, including a May 7 Schoen Cooperman survey (pro-Goldman super PAC) showing Lander ahead 47%-42% among likely voters. Lander benefits from progressive endorsements like NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani and Our Revolution, bolstering his appeal in this deep-blue district spanning Lower Manhattan and Brooklyn waterfront areas. Goldman counters with Gov. Kathy Hochul's backing, union rallies on May 11, and over $1 million in self-funding pledged since April, yet polls indicate limited traction. Minor candidates like Cameron Kasky trail far behind amid a cleared progressive lane. The June 23 primary remains competitive, with turnout and late spending key variables.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$11,942
Дата завершення
Jun 23, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Nov 25, 2025, 3:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«NY-10 Democratic Primary Winner» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 5 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Brad Lander» з 83%, далі «Dan Goldman» з 19%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «NY-10 Democratic Primary Winner» згенерував $11.9K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Nov 25, 2025. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «NY-10 Democratic Primary Winner», перегляньте 5 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «NY-10 Democratic Primary Winner» — «Brad Lander» з 83%. Наступний — «Dan Goldman» з 19%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «NY-10 Democratic Primary Winner» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.