The district’s deep Democratic tilt and lack of any credible Republican challenger anchor the market’s 93.5% consensus for a Democratic general-election win in November. Incumbent Representative Adriano Espaillat holds a structural edge through superior fundraising, labor and party endorsements, and the area’s consistent partisan voting history, even as he faces primary opponents on June 23. Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid Democratic, reflecting a partisan lean that has produced double-digit Democratic margins in recent cycles. A primary upset or major late scandal involving the eventual nominee remain the only plausible paths that could reopen meaningful competition, though both face steep historical and structural barriers in this Upper Manhattan and Bronx district.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоNY-13 House Election Winner
NY-13 House Election Winner
$29,736 Обс.
$29,736 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
6%
$29,736 Обс.
$29,736 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$18,286 Обс.
94%
Republican Party
$11,450 Обс.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district’s deep Democratic tilt and lack of any credible Republican challenger anchor the market’s 93.5% consensus for a Democratic general-election win in November. Incumbent Representative Adriano Espaillat holds a structural edge through superior fundraising, labor and party endorsements, and the area’s consistent partisan voting history, even as he faces primary opponents on June 23. Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid Democratic, reflecting a partisan lean that has produced double-digit Democratic margins in recent cycles. A primary upset or major late scandal involving the eventual nominee remain the only plausible paths that could reopen meaningful competition, though both face steep historical and structural barriers in this Upper Manhattan and Bronx district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Обсяг
$29,736Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district’s deep Democratic tilt and lack of any credible Republican challenger anchor the market’s 93.5% consensus for a Democratic general-election win in November. Incumbent Representative Adriano Espaillat holds a structural edge through superior fundraising, labor and party endorsements, and the area’s consistent partisan voting history, even as he faces primary opponents on June 23. Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid Democratic, reflecting a partisan lean that has produced double-digit Democratic margins in recent cycles. A primary upset or major late scandal involving the eventual nominee remain the only plausible paths that could reopen meaningful competition, though both face steep historical and structural barriers in this Upper Manhattan and Bronx district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$29,736Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The district’s deep Democratic tilt and lack of any credible Republican challenger anchor the market’s 93.5% consensus for a Democratic general-election win in November. Incumbent Representative Adriano Espaillat holds a structural edge through superior fundraising, labor and party endorsements, and the area’s consistent partisan voting history, even as he faces primary opponents on June 23. Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid Democratic, reflecting a partisan lean that has produced double-digit Democratic margins in recent cycles. A primary upset or major late scandal involving the eventual nominee remain the only plausible paths that could reopen meaningful competition, though both face steep historical and structural barriers in this Upper Manhattan and Bronx district.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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