The NY-17 House race pits Republican incumbent Mike Lawler against Democratic nominee Cait Conley in a Hudson Valley swing district that narrowly favored Kamala Harris in 2024. Lawler’s narrow 2024 re-election and the seat’s status as one of few Republican-held districts carried by a Democrat have made it a prime target, contributing to the Democratic edge in trader pricing. Conley, an Army veteran and former national security official, secured the Democratic nomination in the June 23 primary over several rivals, positioning her as a competitive challenger in a district with balanced partisan enrollment. Fundraising favors Lawler, yet forecasters rate the contest a toss-up amid limited post-primary polling. With the general election set for November 3, 2026, trader consensus reflects the district’s underlying competitiveness and the typical midterm dynamics for the opposition party.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоNY-17 House Election Winner
NY-17 House Election Winner
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
66%
Republican Party
32%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$4,054 Обс.
66%
Republican Party
$5,713 Обс.
32%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The NY-17 House race pits Republican incumbent Mike Lawler against Democratic nominee Cait Conley in a Hudson Valley swing district that narrowly favored Kamala Harris in 2024. Lawler’s narrow 2024 re-election and the seat’s status as one of few Republican-held districts carried by a Democrat have made it a prime target, contributing to the Democratic edge in trader pricing. Conley, an Army veteran and former national security official, secured the Democratic nomination in the June 23 primary over several rivals, positioning her as a competitive challenger in a district with balanced partisan enrollment. Fundraising favors Lawler, yet forecasters rate the contest a toss-up amid limited post-primary polling. With the general election set for November 3, 2026, trader consensus reflects the district’s underlying competitiveness and the typical midterm dynamics for the opposition party.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ET
Обсяг
$9,767Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The NY-17 House race pits Republican incumbent Mike Lawler against Democratic nominee Cait Conley in a Hudson Valley swing district that narrowly favored Kamala Harris in 2024. Lawler’s narrow 2024 re-election and the seat’s status as one of few Republican-held districts carried by a Democrat have made it a prime target, contributing to the Democratic edge in trader pricing. Conley, an Army veteran and former national security official, secured the Democratic nomination in the June 23 primary over several rivals, positioning her as a competitive challenger in a district with balanced partisan enrollment. Fundraising favors Lawler, yet forecasters rate the contest a toss-up amid limited post-primary polling. With the general election set for November 3, 2026, trader consensus reflects the district’s underlying competitiveness and the typical midterm dynamics for the opposition party.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$9,767Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The NY-17 House race pits Republican incumbent Mike Lawler against Democratic nominee Cait Conley in a Hudson Valley swing district that narrowly favored Kamala Harris in 2024. Lawler’s narrow 2024 re-election and the seat’s status as one of few Republican-held districts carried by a Democrat have made it a prime target, contributing to the Democratic edge in trader pricing. Conley, an Army veteran and former national security official, secured the Democratic nomination in the June 23 primary over several rivals, positioning her as a competitive challenger in a district with balanced partisan enrollment. Fundraising favors Lawler, yet forecasters rate the contest a toss-up amid limited post-primary polling. With the general election set for November 3, 2026, trader consensus reflects the district’s underlying competitiveness and the typical midterm dynamics for the opposition party.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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