Incumbent Democrat Pat Ryan maintains a commanding position in New York’s 18th congressional district, which covers the mid-Hudson Valley including Orange County and portions of Dutchess and Ulster counties. His 2024 re-election margin, strong fundraising, labor endorsements, and the district’s consistent Democratic lean underpin trader consensus. The June 2026 primaries advanced Ryan and Republican Jacqueline Auringer without significant opposition, leaving limited time for the challenger to close gaps before the November general election. A late national Republican wave, major candidate-specific development, or turnout surge in competitive pockets could still shift outcomes, though structural advantages currently favor the incumbent.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоNY-18 House Election Winner
NY-18 House Election Winner
$34,838 Обс.
$34,838 Обс.
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
91%
Republican Party
9%
$34,838 Обс.
$34,838 Обс.
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$32,694 Обс.
91%
Republican Party
$2,144 Обс.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Pat Ryan maintains a commanding position in New York’s 18th congressional district, which covers the mid-Hudson Valley including Orange County and portions of Dutchess and Ulster counties. His 2024 re-election margin, strong fundraising, labor endorsements, and the district’s consistent Democratic lean underpin trader consensus. The June 2026 primaries advanced Ryan and Republican Jacqueline Auringer without significant opposition, leaving limited time for the challenger to close gaps before the November general election. A late national Republican wave, major candidate-specific development, or turnout surge in competitive pockets could still shift outcomes, though structural advantages currently favor the incumbent.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ET
Обсяг
$34,838Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Pat Ryan maintains a commanding position in New York’s 18th congressional district, which covers the mid-Hudson Valley including Orange County and portions of Dutchess and Ulster counties. His 2024 re-election margin, strong fundraising, labor endorsements, and the district’s consistent Democratic lean underpin trader consensus. The June 2026 primaries advanced Ryan and Republican Jacqueline Auringer without significant opposition, leaving limited time for the challenger to close gaps before the November general election. A late national Republican wave, major candidate-specific development, or turnout surge in competitive pockets could still shift outcomes, though structural advantages currently favor the incumbent.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$34,838Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Pat Ryan maintains a commanding position in New York’s 18th congressional district, which covers the mid-Hudson Valley including Orange County and portions of Dutchess and Ulster counties. His 2024 re-election margin, strong fundraising, labor endorsements, and the district’s consistent Democratic lean underpin trader consensus. The June 2026 primaries advanced Ryan and Republican Jacqueline Auringer without significant opposition, leaving limited time for the challenger to close gaps before the November general election. A late national Republican wave, major candidate-specific development, or turnout surge in competitive pockets could still shift outcomes, though structural advantages currently favor the incumbent.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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