Переможець республіканських праймериз губернатора Флориди
Байрон Дональдс 88%
Джеймс Фішбек 9%
Джей Коллінз 2.6%
Кейсі ДеСантіс <1%
$1,531,302 Обс.
$1,531,302 Обс.
Aug 18, 2026
Байрон Дональдс
$116,907 Обс.
88%
Джеймс Фішбек
$384,239 Обс.
9%
Джей Коллінз
$710,563 Обс.
3%
Кейсі ДеСантіс
$183,696 Обс.
<1%
Вілтон Сімпсон
$55,804 Обс.
<1%
Метт Гетц
$35,742 Обс.
<1%
Джиммі Патроніс
$44,351 Обс.
<1%
Байрон Дональдс 88%
Джеймс Фішбек 9%
Джей Коллінз 2.6%
Кейсі ДеСантіс <1%
$1,531,302 Обс.
$1,531,302 Обс.
Aug 18, 2026
Байрон Дональдс
$116,907 Обс.
88%
Джеймс Фішбек
$384,239 Обс.
9%
Джей Коллінз
$710,563 Обс.
3%
Кейсі ДеСантіс
$183,696 Обс.
<1%
Вілтон Сімпсон
$55,804 Обс.
<1%
Метт Гетц
$35,742 Обс.
<1%
Джиммі Патроніс
$44,351 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026.
If no 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Byron Donalds holds a commanding position in the Florida Republican gubernatorial primary as the clear frontrunner, backed by President Trump's early endorsement and consistent leads of 30 to 50 points in recent polls from Emerson College, Stetson University, and others. Strong first-quarter fundraising exceeding $22 million and broad support among likely Republican voters have reinforced trader consensus on his path to the August 18 primary nomination in this open-seat race following term limits on the current governor. Lieutenant Governor Jay Collins and James Fishback trail significantly, with Collins recently launching attacks and ad campaigns highlighting general-election risks, while other candidates like Casey DeSantis and Wilton Simpson register minimal polling and market share. Late developments such as endorsements or turnout shifts could still influence outcomes before early voting begins.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026.
If no 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026.
If no 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Byron Donalds holds a commanding position in the Florida Republican gubernatorial primary as the clear frontrunner, backed by President Trump's early endorsement and consistent leads of 30 to 50 points in recent polls from Emerson College, Stetson University, and others. Strong first-quarter fundraising exceeding $22 million and broad support among likely Republican voters have reinforced trader consensus on his path to the August 18 primary nomination in this open-seat race following term limits on the current governor. Lieutenant Governor Jay Collins and James Fishback trail significantly, with Collins recently launching attacks and ad campaigns highlighting general-election risks, while other candidates like Casey DeSantis and Wilton Simpson register minimal polling and market share. Late developments such as endorsements or turnout shifts could still influence outcomes before early voting begins.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Apr 29 2026
Jay Collins’ market price slides to 5% after missing debate invitation
Collins was not invited to the televised GOP debate, signaling limited party support and pushing his price down to single digits.
Apr 18 2026
James Fishback’s poll numbers dip below 10% after fundraising reports
James Fishback dips to 9%3%
Fishback disclosed a modest $500,000 fundraising total, causing his market price to fall from 12% to 9% as donors shifted to Donalds.
Byron Donalds reached a peak market price of 93%, reflecting strong confidence in his likelihood to win the Republican primary for Florida governor as other candidates' support waned.
Apr 2 2026
Byron Donalds peaks at 93% after winning key endorsement from Florida Senate President
Byron Donalds jumps to 93%5%
The Florida Senate President publicly endorsed Donalds, creating a brief market peak to 93% before a modest pullback, while all other candidates fell to near‑zero.
Apr 2 2026
Byron Donalds' campaign gains momentum with increased media coverage and endorsements
Byron Donalds jumps to 93%11%
Byron Donalds' campaign received increased media attention and endorsements from key Republican figures, solidifying his position as the frontrunner in the Florida Republican gubernatorial primary. This led to a peak in his market probability around early April 2026.
Apr 1 2026
Gov. Ron DeSantis calls special session to redraw Florida congressional districts
Governor DeSantis called a special legislative session in April 2026 to redraw congressional districts, intensifying GOP infighting and political maneuvering in Florida. While this affected the broader political landscape, it had limited direct impact on the gubernatorial primary market.
Mar 14 2026
Byron Donalds hits 87% price after DeSantis hints at endorsement
Byron Donalds jumps to 87%5%
Governor Ron DeSantis said he would consider endorsing a candidate but did not name anyone; market inferred likely support for Donalds, sending his price to 87% and further marginalizing others.
Feb 25 2026
Byron Donalds maintains strong lead in Florida GOP gubernatorial primary market
Byron Donalds rises to 81%2%
Byron Donalds' market price remained high following his early announcement and Trump's endorsement, solidifying his position as the frontrunner in the Republican primary.
Feb 25 2026
Byron Donalds' gubernatorial bid continues to solidify
Byron Donalds rises to 81%3%
Byron Donalds' campaign maintained its momentum as the primary frontrunner, with his market price rising steadily throughout the period.
Feb 19 2026
National Governors Association meeting disrupted by Trump excluding Democrats
The annual governors' meeting in Washington was upended after President Trump excluded Democratic governors from White House events, highlighting partisan tensions that may influence Republican primaries including Florida's.
Feb 10 2026
Byron Donalds reaches 81% market price after fundraising surge
Byron Donalds rises to 81%3%
Donald’s campaign reported a $15 million fundraising haul, reinforcing his frontrunner status and pushing his market price to a new high.
Jan 12 2026
Florida Lt. Gov. Jay Collins joins 2026 governor Republican primary
Florida Lt. Gov. Jay Collins officially announced his candidacy for governor, entering a primary field that already included Trump-backed U.S. Rep. Byron Donalds.
During a televised GOP forum, Donalds outperformed rivals in a Q&A session, leading to a price jump from 81% to 82% as market participants interpreted his strong showing as a sign of inevitable nomination.
Dec 22 2025
Trump publicly praises Byron Donalds as preferred Florida governor candidate
Byron Donalds jumps to 81%11%
President Trump reiterated his support for Donalds in a televised interview, prompting a further price rise for Donalds to the low 80s and a corresponding decline for other candidates.
Dec 20 2025
Governor Ron DeSantis declines to endorse any primary candidate
DeSantis' neutrality removed a potential boost for other contenders, reinforcing Donalds' lead and contributing to the continued decline of the remaining candidates toward zero.
Dec 16 2025
Lt. Gov. Jay Collins announces run for governor
Jay Collins plunges to 3%39%
Collins' entry added a high‑profile state official to the field, briefly lifting his price from single digits to low‑teens before his support waned as Donalds' endorsement dominated the narrative.
Dec 12 2025
Poll shows Byron Donalds leading Republican primary field
Byron Donalds jumps to 70%10%
A statewide poll released in mid‑December gave Donalds a double‑digit lead over his rivals, reinforcing his upward price trajectory to the low 70s.
Dec 9 2025
Azoria CEO James Fishback launches gubernatorial campaign
James Fishback drops to 36%7%
James Fishback entered the race, positioning himself as a business outsider; the announcement shifted attention away from other fringe candidates, contributing to a modest dip in his own price and a slight rise for Donalds.
Dec 4 2025
James Fishback launches gubernatorial campaign
James Fishback drops to 33%10%
Entrepreneur James Fishback entered the race, drawing limited media attention; his market price fell from 43% to the low 30s as donors and voters focused on higher‑profile candidates.
Dec 4 2025
Jay Collins' gubernatorial bid gains attention as lieutenant governor
Jay Collins plunges to 3%39%
Following his announcement, Jay Collins' candidacy gained traction but faced challenges competing against Trump-backed Donalds, reflected in fluctuating market prices in early December 2025.
Dec 2 2025
Donald Trump endorses Rep. Byron Donalds for Florida governor
Byron Donalds jumps to 62%14%
Former President Trump publicly backed Byron Donalds, giving the candidate a major boost in national visibility and signaling party establishment support, which drove Donalds' price from the low‑40s to the high‑60s percent range.
Dec 2 2025
Lt. Gov. Jay Collins enters 2026 Florida governor race
Jay Collins plunges to 12%30%
Jay Collins announced his candidacy, positioning himself as a DeSantis ally but without a clear endorsement, which coincided with a sharp drop in his market price from 42% to the low single digits over the following weeks.
Dec 1 2025
Jay Collins announces run for Florida governor
Jay Collins plunges to 3%39%
Florida Lt. Gov. Jay Collins announced his candidacy for governor, entering the primary race against Trump-backed Byron Donalds, which initially caused a shift in market expectations.
Nov 25 2025
Florida Lt. Gov. Jay Collins enters 2026 governor race against Trump-backed rival
Jay Collins, Florida's lieutenant governor and an ally of Governor Ron DeSantis, announced his candidacy for governor, entering the Republican primary against Trump-backed Byron Donalds. Collins' entry initially caused some market movement but he failed to gain significant traction.
Byron Donalds' campaign for Florida governor, backed by Donald Trump, began the analysis window with strong market support, reflecting his status as the frontrunner.
Nov 25 2025
Florida Lt. Gov. Jay Collins announces 2026 governor run against Trump-backed Byron Donalds
Byron Donalds surges to 63%15%
Jay Collins, Florida's lieutenant governor and a DeSantis ally, officially entered the Republican primary, setting up a contest against Trump-endorsed Byron Donalds. This announcement clarified the primary field and influenced early market positioning, with Donalds gaining from Trump's backing and Collins entering as a credible contender.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026.
If no 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Byron Donalds holds a commanding position in the Florida Republican gubernatorial primary as the clear frontrunner, backed by President Trump's early endorsement and consistent leads of 30 to 50 points in recent polls from Emerson College, Stetson University, and others. Strong first-quarter fundraising exceeding $22 million and broad support among likely Republican voters have reinforced trader consensus on his path to the August 18 primary nomination in this open-seat race following term limits on the current governor. Lieutenant Governor Jay Collins and James Fishback trail significantly, with Collins recently launching attacks and ad campaigns highlighting general-election risks, while other candidates like Casey DeSantis and Wilton Simpson register minimal polling and market share. Late developments such as endorsements or turnout shifts could still influence outcomes before early voting begins.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026.
If no 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026.
If no 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Byron Donalds holds a commanding position in the Florida Republican gubernatorial primary as the clear frontrunner, backed by President Trump's early endorsement and consistent leads of 30 to 50 points in recent polls from Emerson College, Stetson University, and others. Strong first-quarter fundraising exceeding $22 million and broad support among likely Republican voters have reinforced trader consensus on his path to the August 18 primary nomination in this open-seat race following term limits on the current governor. Lieutenant Governor Jay Collins and James Fishback trail significantly, with Collins recently launching attacks and ad campaigns highlighting general-election risks, while other candidates like Casey DeSantis and Wilton Simpson register minimal polling and market share. Late developments such as endorsements or turnout shifts could still influence outcomes before early voting begins.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Apr 29 2026
Jay Collins’ market price slides to 5% after missing debate invitation
Collins was not invited to the televised GOP debate, signaling limited party support and pushing his price down to single digits.
Apr 18 2026
James Fishback’s poll numbers dip below 10% after fundraising reports
James Fishback dips to 9%3%
Fishback disclosed a modest $500,000 fundraising total, causing his market price to fall from 12% to 9% as donors shifted to Donalds.
Byron Donalds reached a peak market price of 93%, reflecting strong confidence in his likelihood to win the Republican primary for Florida governor as other candidates' support waned.
Apr 2 2026
Byron Donalds peaks at 93% after winning key endorsement from Florida Senate President
Byron Donalds jumps to 93%5%
The Florida Senate President publicly endorsed Donalds, creating a brief market peak to 93% before a modest pullback, while all other candidates fell to near‑zero.
Apr 2 2026
Byron Donalds' campaign gains momentum with increased media coverage and endorsements
Byron Donalds jumps to 93%11%
Byron Donalds' campaign received increased media attention and endorsements from key Republican figures, solidifying his position as the frontrunner in the Florida Republican gubernatorial primary. This led to a peak in his market probability around early April 2026.
Apr 1 2026
Gov. Ron DeSantis calls special session to redraw Florida congressional districts
Governor DeSantis called a special legislative session in April 2026 to redraw congressional districts, intensifying GOP infighting and political maneuvering in Florida. While this affected the broader political landscape, it had limited direct impact on the gubernatorial primary market.
Mar 14 2026
Byron Donalds hits 87% price after DeSantis hints at endorsement
Byron Donalds jumps to 87%5%
Governor Ron DeSantis said he would consider endorsing a candidate but did not name anyone; market inferred likely support for Donalds, sending his price to 87% and further marginalizing others.
Feb 25 2026
Byron Donalds maintains strong lead in Florida GOP gubernatorial primary market
Byron Donalds rises to 81%2%
Byron Donalds' market price remained high following his early announcement and Trump's endorsement, solidifying his position as the frontrunner in the Republican primary.
Feb 25 2026
Byron Donalds' gubernatorial bid continues to solidify
Byron Donalds rises to 81%3%
Byron Donalds' campaign maintained its momentum as the primary frontrunner, with his market price rising steadily throughout the period.
Feb 19 2026
National Governors Association meeting disrupted by Trump excluding Democrats
The annual governors' meeting in Washington was upended after President Trump excluded Democratic governors from White House events, highlighting partisan tensions that may influence Republican primaries including Florida's.
Feb 10 2026
Byron Donalds reaches 81% market price after fundraising surge
Byron Donalds rises to 81%3%
Donald’s campaign reported a $15 million fundraising haul, reinforcing his frontrunner status and pushing his market price to a new high.
Jan 12 2026
Florida Lt. Gov. Jay Collins joins 2026 governor Republican primary
Florida Lt. Gov. Jay Collins officially announced his candidacy for governor, entering a primary field that already included Trump-backed U.S. Rep. Byron Donalds.
During a televised GOP forum, Donalds outperformed rivals in a Q&A session, leading to a price jump from 81% to 82% as market participants interpreted his strong showing as a sign of inevitable nomination.
Dec 22 2025
Trump publicly praises Byron Donalds as preferred Florida governor candidate
Byron Donalds jumps to 81%11%
President Trump reiterated his support for Donalds in a televised interview, prompting a further price rise for Donalds to the low 80s and a corresponding decline for other candidates.
Dec 20 2025
Governor Ron DeSantis declines to endorse any primary candidate
DeSantis' neutrality removed a potential boost for other contenders, reinforcing Donalds' lead and contributing to the continued decline of the remaining candidates toward zero.
Dec 16 2025
Lt. Gov. Jay Collins announces run for governor
Jay Collins plunges to 3%39%
Collins' entry added a high‑profile state official to the field, briefly lifting his price from single digits to low‑teens before his support waned as Donalds' endorsement dominated the narrative.
Dec 12 2025
Poll shows Byron Donalds leading Republican primary field
Byron Donalds jumps to 70%10%
A statewide poll released in mid‑December gave Donalds a double‑digit lead over his rivals, reinforcing his upward price trajectory to the low 70s.
Dec 9 2025
Azoria CEO James Fishback launches gubernatorial campaign
James Fishback drops to 36%7%
James Fishback entered the race, positioning himself as a business outsider; the announcement shifted attention away from other fringe candidates, contributing to a modest dip in his own price and a slight rise for Donalds.
Dec 4 2025
James Fishback launches gubernatorial campaign
James Fishback drops to 33%10%
Entrepreneur James Fishback entered the race, drawing limited media attention; his market price fell from 43% to the low 30s as donors and voters focused on higher‑profile candidates.
Dec 4 2025
Jay Collins' gubernatorial bid gains attention as lieutenant governor
Jay Collins plunges to 3%39%
Following his announcement, Jay Collins' candidacy gained traction but faced challenges competing against Trump-backed Donalds, reflected in fluctuating market prices in early December 2025.
Dec 2 2025
Donald Trump endorses Rep. Byron Donalds for Florida governor
Byron Donalds jumps to 62%14%
Former President Trump publicly backed Byron Donalds, giving the candidate a major boost in national visibility and signaling party establishment support, which drove Donalds' price from the low‑40s to the high‑60s percent range.
Dec 2 2025
Lt. Gov. Jay Collins enters 2026 Florida governor race
Jay Collins plunges to 12%30%
Jay Collins announced his candidacy, positioning himself as a DeSantis ally but without a clear endorsement, which coincided with a sharp drop in his market price from 42% to the low single digits over the following weeks.
Dec 1 2025
Jay Collins announces run for Florida governor
Jay Collins plunges to 3%39%
Florida Lt. Gov. Jay Collins announced his candidacy for governor, entering the primary race against Trump-backed Byron Donalds, which initially caused a shift in market expectations.
Nov 25 2025
Florida Lt. Gov. Jay Collins enters 2026 governor race against Trump-backed rival
Jay Collins, Florida's lieutenant governor and an ally of Governor Ron DeSantis, announced his candidacy for governor, entering the Republican primary against Trump-backed Byron Donalds. Collins' entry initially caused some market movement but he failed to gain significant traction.
Byron Donalds' campaign for Florida governor, backed by Donald Trump, began the analysis window with strong market support, reflecting his status as the frontrunner.
Nov 25 2025
Florida Lt. Gov. Jay Collins announces 2026 governor run against Trump-backed Byron Donalds
Byron Donalds surges to 63%15%
Jay Collins, Florida's lieutenant governor and a DeSantis ally, officially entered the Republican primary, setting up a contest against Trump-endorsed Byron Donalds. This announcement clarified the primary field and influenced early market positioning, with Donalds gaining from Trump's backing and Collins entering as a credible contender.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання
«Переможець республіканських праймериз губернатора Флориди» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 7 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Байрон Дональдс» з 88%, далі «Джеймс Фішбек» з 9%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.
Станом на сьогодні, «Переможець республіканських праймериз губернатора Флориди» згенерував $1.5 million загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Nov 25, 2025. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.
Щоб торгувати на «Переможець республіканських праймериз губернатора Флориди», перегляньте 7 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.
Поточний фаворит для «Переможець республіканських праймериз губернатора Флориди» — «Байрон Дональдс» з 88%. Наступний — «Джеймс Фішбек» з 9%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.
Правила вирішення для «Переможець республіканських праймериз губернатора Флориди» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.
Так. Вам не потрібно торгувати, щоб бути в курсі. Ця сторінка служить трекером наживо для «Переможець республіканських праймериз губернатора Флориди». Ймовірності результатів оновлюються в реальному часі з новими угодами. Збережіть сторінку та перегляньте коментарі інших трейдерів.
Шанси Polymarket встановлюються реальними трейдерами, які вкладають реальні гроші, що сприяє точним прогнозам. З $1.5 million торгового обсягу на «Переможець республіканських праймериз губернатора Флориди» ці ціни агрегують колективні знання тисяч учасників. Polymarket має місячний показник точності 94%. Для актуальної статистики точності відвідайте сторінку точності на Polymarket.
Щоб зробити першу угоду на «Переможець республіканських праймериз губернатора Флориди», зареєструйте безкоштовний акаунт на Polymarket та поповніть його криптою, кредитною чи дебетовою карткою або банківським переказом. Після поповнення поверніться на цю сторінку, оберіть результат, введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ви новачок на ринках прогнозів, натисніть «Як це працює» вгорі будь-якої сторінки Polymarket.
На Polymarket ціна кожного результату відображає ймовірність ринку. Ціна 88¢ для «Байрон Дональдс» на ринку «Переможець республіканських праймериз губернатора Флориди» означає, що трейдери колективно оцінюють шанс цього результату приблизно в 88%. Якщо ви купите акції «Так» за 88¢ і результат правильний, ви отримаєте $1.00 за акцію — прибуток 12¢ за акцію.
Ринок «Переможець республіканських праймериз губернатора Флориди» запланований до вирішення приблизно Aug 18, 2026. Торгівля залишатиметься відкритою, а шанси продовжуватимуть змінюватися з появою нової інформації до цієї дати.
Ринок «Переможець республіканських праймериз губернатора Флориди» має активна спільнота з 51 коментарями, де трейдери діляться аналізом, обговорюють результати та останні новини. Прокрутіть вниз до розділу коментарів. Ви також можете фільтрувати за «Топ власники» або переглянути вкладку «Активність» для стрічки угод у реальному часі.
Polymarket — найбільший ринок прогнозів у світі, де ви можете бути в курсі подій та заробляти на знаннях реальних подій. Трейдери купують і продають акції на результати тем від політики та виборів до крипто, фінансів, спорту, технологій та культури, включаючи ринки, як «Переможець республіканських праймериз губернатора Флориди». Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання