The crowded field and recent July polling keep the contest for second place in Rio de Janeiro’s Senate race tightly balanced, with Benedita da Silva (PT) atop surveys at 11-16% while a cluster of candidates including Marcelo Crivella, Waguinho (Republicanos), Mônica Benício (PSOL), Pedro Paulo (PSD), and Carlos Portinho (PL) sit within a few points of one another. Flávio Bolsonaro’s presidential bid has opened space on the right, fragmenting support across parties and leaving name recognition and regional strongholds as key differentiators ahead of the October vote. Traders assign comparable probabilities to several contenders because no clear consolidation has occurred, and further shifts in alliances or late polling could reorder the middle of the pack before election day.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоWaguinho 36%
Monica Benicio 34%
Luiz Eugenio 21%
Carlos Portinho 21%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Oct 4, 2026
Waguinho
36%
Monica Benicio
34%
Luiz Eugenio
21%
Carlos Portinho
21%
Marcelo Crivella
20%
Paula Falcão
20%
Carlos Jordy
19%
Marcos Dias
19%
Helio Secco
17%
Luciano Mattos
17%
André Monteiro
16%
Ó Clemente
16%
Pedro Paulo
19%
Benedita da Silva
19%
Vinicius Benevides
10%
Michelly Xavier
6%
Waguinho 36%
Monica Benicio 34%
Luiz Eugenio 21%
Carlos Portinho 21%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Oct 4, 2026
Waguinho
$41 Обс.
36%
Monica Benicio
$41 Обс.
34%
Luiz Eugenio
$80 Обс.
21%
Carlos Portinho
$41 Обс.
21%
Marcelo Crivella
$41 Обс.
20%
Paula Falcão
$41 Обс.
20%
Carlos Jordy
$41 Обс.
19%
Marcos Dias
$41 Обс.
19%
Helio Secco
$41 Обс.
17%
Luciano Mattos
$41 Обс.
17%
André Monteiro
$41 Обс.
16%
Ó Clemente
$41 Обс.
16%
Pedro Paulo
$41 Обс.
19%
Benedita da Silva
$61 Обс.
19%
Vinicius Benevides
$41 Обс.
10%
Michelly Xavier
$78 Обс.
6%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The crowded field and recent July polling keep the contest for second place in Rio de Janeiro’s Senate race tightly balanced, with Benedita da Silva (PT) atop surveys at 11-16% while a cluster of candidates including Marcelo Crivella, Waguinho (Republicanos), Mônica Benício (PSOL), Pedro Paulo (PSD), and Carlos Portinho (PL) sit within a few points of one another. Flávio Bolsonaro’s presidential bid has opened space on the right, fragmenting support across parties and leaving name recognition and regional strongholds as key differentiators ahead of the October vote. Traders assign comparable probabilities to several contenders because no clear consolidation has occurred, and further shifts in alliances or late polling could reorder the middle of the pack before election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Ринок відкрито: Aug 17, 2026, 6:13 AM ET
Обсяг
$752Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 6:13 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The crowded field and recent July polling keep the contest for second place in Rio de Janeiro’s Senate race tightly balanced, with Benedita da Silva (PT) atop surveys at 11-16% while a cluster of candidates including Marcelo Crivella, Waguinho (Republicanos), Mônica Benício (PSOL), Pedro Paulo (PSD), and Carlos Portinho (PL) sit within a few points of one another. Flávio Bolsonaro’s presidential bid has opened space on the right, fragmenting support across parties and leaving name recognition and regional strongholds as key differentiators ahead of the October vote. Traders assign comparable probabilities to several contenders because no clear consolidation has occurred, and further shifts in alliances or late polling could reorder the middle of the pack before election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Обсяг
$752Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 6:13 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The crowded field and recent July polling keep the contest for second place in Rio de Janeiro’s Senate race tightly balanced, with Benedita da Silva (PT) atop surveys at 11-16% while a cluster of candidates including Marcelo Crivella, Waguinho (Republicanos), Mônica Benício (PSOL), Pedro Paulo (PSD), and Carlos Portinho (PL) sit within a few points of one another. Flávio Bolsonaro’s presidential bid has opened space on the right, fragmenting support across parties and leaving name recognition and regional strongholds as key differentiators ahead of the October vote. Traders assign comparable probabilities to several contenders because no clear consolidation has occurred, and further shifts in alliances or late polling could reorder the middle of the pack before election day.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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