In the Tocantins federal Senate race for two seats on October 4, 2026, trader consensus reflects a fragmented field where Eduardo Gomes holds a polling edge for first place while multiple contenders vie for second. Recent candidacy registrations closed in mid-August, with Irajá Abreu’s withdrawal consolidating some support but leaving names like Alexandre Guimarães, Carlos Gaguim, Eli Borges, and Professor Osvaldo in close contention per available surveys. The tight implied probabilities stem from similar vote-share bases among these candidates, limited recent polling differentiation, and Brazil’s multi-candidate dynamics where turnout, regional alliances, and late campaign shifts can reorder placements. Developments such as party coalitions, additional candidate exits, or updated statewide surveys could separate the pack before election day.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоVanderlei Luxemburgo 26%
Eli Borges 22%
Apóstolo Flavio Braga 21%
Helio Rodrigues Bolsonaro 21%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Oct 4, 2026
Vanderlei Luxemburgo
26%
Eli Borges
27%
Apóstolo Flavio Braga
21%
Helio Rodrigues Bolsonaro
21%
Alexandre Guimarães
20%
Eduardo Gomes
20%
Professor Osvaldo
20%
Fábio Ribeiro
18%
Osvany Luz
14%
Paulo Mourão
11%
Ronaldo Dimas
6%
Gaguim
17%
Nilton Santos
25%
Vanderlei Luxemburgo 26%
Eli Borges 22%
Apóstolo Flavio Braga 21%
Helio Rodrigues Bolsonaro 21%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Oct 4, 2026
Vanderlei Luxemburgo
$60 Обс.
26%
Eli Borges
$80 Обс.
27%
Apóstolo Flavio Braga
$60 Обс.
21%
Helio Rodrigues Bolsonaro
$60 Обс.
21%
Alexandre Guimarães
$60 Обс.
20%
Eduardo Gomes
$60 Обс.
20%
Professor Osvaldo
$72 Обс.
20%
Fábio Ribeiro
$60 Обс.
18%
Osvany Luz
$80 Обс.
14%
Paulo Mourão
$60 Обс.
11%
Ronaldo Dimas
$60 Обс.
6%
Gaguim
$60 Обс.
17%
Nilton Santos
$72 Обс.
25%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).In the Tocantins federal Senate race for two seats on October 4, 2026, trader consensus reflects a fragmented field where Eduardo Gomes holds a polling edge for first place while multiple contenders vie for second. Recent candidacy registrations closed in mid-August, with Irajá Abreu’s withdrawal consolidating some support but leaving names like Alexandre Guimarães, Carlos Gaguim, Eli Borges, and Professor Osvaldo in close contention per available surveys. The tight implied probabilities stem from similar vote-share bases among these candidates, limited recent polling differentiation, and Brazil’s multi-candidate dynamics where turnout, regional alliances, and late campaign shifts can reorder placements. Developments such as party coalitions, additional candidate exits, or updated statewide surveys could separate the pack before election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Ринок відкрито: Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ET
Обсяг
$844Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).In the Tocantins federal Senate race for two seats on October 4, 2026, trader consensus reflects a fragmented field where Eduardo Gomes holds a polling edge for first place while multiple contenders vie for second. Recent candidacy registrations closed in mid-August, with Irajá Abreu’s withdrawal consolidating some support but leaving names like Alexandre Guimarães, Carlos Gaguim, Eli Borges, and Professor Osvaldo in close contention per available surveys. The tight implied probabilities stem from similar vote-share bases among these candidates, limited recent polling differentiation, and Brazil’s multi-candidate dynamics where turnout, regional alliances, and late campaign shifts can reorder placements. Developments such as party coalitions, additional candidate exits, or updated statewide surveys could separate the pack before election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Обсяг
$844Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...In the Tocantins federal Senate race for two seats on October 4, 2026, trader consensus reflects a fragmented field where Eduardo Gomes holds a polling edge for first place while multiple contenders vie for second. Recent candidacy registrations closed in mid-August, with Irajá Abreu’s withdrawal consolidating some support but leaving names like Alexandre Guimarães, Carlos Gaguim, Eli Borges, and Professor Osvaldo in close contention per available surveys. The tight implied probabilities stem from similar vote-share bases among these candidates, limited recent polling differentiation, and Brazil’s multi-candidate dynamics where turnout, regional alliances, and late campaign shifts can reorder placements. Developments such as party coalitions, additional candidate exits, or updated statewide surveys could separate the pack before election day.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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