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Політика·Первинні

UT-01 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for UT-01 Democratic Primary Winner
Політика·Первинні

UT-01 Democratic Primary Winner

Ben McAdams 77%

Liban Mohamed 20.4%

Nate Blouin 16%

Erin Mendenhall <1%

Polymarket

$29,880 Обс.

Ben McAdams 77%

Liban Mohamed 20.4%

Nate Blouin 16%

Erin Mendenhall <1%

Polymarket

$29,880 Обс.

Ben McAdams

$7,943 Обс.

77%

Liban Mohamed

$744 Обс.

20%

Nate Blouin

$4,106 Обс.

16%

Erin Mendenhall

$4,508 Обс.

<1%

Luz Escamilla

$5,829 Обс.

<1%

Caroline Gleich

$1,228 Обс.

<1%

Brian King

$1,190 Обс.

<1%

Kathleen Riebe

$1,615 Обс.

<1%

Michael Farrell

$282 Обс.

<1%

Kael Weston

$1,101 Обс.

<1%

Jenny Wilson

$1,333 Обс.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Former U.S. Rep. Ben McAdams leads Polymarket trader consensus at 77% to win Utah's 1st Congressional District Democratic primary on June 23, driven by his strong name recognition, moderate appeal among broader voters, dominant fundraising with over $1.5 million raised, and a March Data for Progress poll showing him at 36% versus Nate Blouin's 23% and Liban Mohamed's low single digits among 381 likely primary voters. Mohamed's narrow 51.5%-48.5% convention victory over McAdams two weeks ago among party activists has lifted his odds to 14.8%, while Blouin's progressive endorsements keep him viable at 15.5%; no post-convention polls have shifted the skin-in-the-game assessment favoring McAdams' general electability in the blue-leaning district.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$29,880
Дата завершення
Jun 23, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Nov 25, 2025, 4:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Former U.S. Rep. Ben McAdams leads Polymarket trader consensus at 77% to win Utah's 1st Congressional District Democratic primary on June 23, driven by his strong name recognition, moderate appeal among broader voters, dominant fundraising with over $1.5 million raised, and a March Data for Progress poll showing him at 36% versus Nate Blouin's 23% and Liban Mohamed's low single digits among 381 likely primary voters. Mohamed's narrow 51.5%-48.5% convention victory over McAdams two weeks ago among party activists has lifted his odds to 14.8%, while Blouin's progressive endorsements keep him viable at 15.5%; no post-convention polls have shifted the skin-in-the-game assessment favoring McAdams' general electability in the blue-leaning district.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$29,880
Дата завершення
Jun 23, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Nov 25, 2025, 4:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«UT-01 Democratic Primary Winner» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 11 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Ben McAdams» з 77%, далі «Liban Mohamed» з 20%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «UT-01 Democratic Primary Winner» згенерував $29.9K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Nov 25, 2025. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «UT-01 Democratic Primary Winner», перегляньте 11 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «UT-01 Democratic Primary Winner» — «Ben McAdams» з 77%. Наступний — «Liban Mohamed» з 20%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «UT-01 Democratic Primary Winner» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.