Utah's 4th congressional district maintains a pronounced Republican tilt reinforced by recent court-ordered redistricting and consistent partisan voting patterns across its suburban and exurban areas. Incumbent Mike Kennedy secured the GOP nomination with 78.7 percent of delegate support at the state convention in late April 2026, bypassing a contested primary and unifying party resources ahead of the November general election. Democratic nominee Jonny Larsen faces structural headwinds in a district rated solidly Republican by nonpartisan analysts. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing anticipates little disruption absent major late-cycle developments such as candidate health events, ethics issues, or an unusually strong national Democratic performance that narrows historical margins.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоUT-04 House Election Winner
UT-04 House Election Winner
$15,038 Обс.
$15,038 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
91%
Democratic Party
9%
$15,038 Обс.
$15,038 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$5,489 Обс.
91%
Democratic Party
$9,549 Обс.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Utah's 4th congressional district maintains a pronounced Republican tilt reinforced by recent court-ordered redistricting and consistent partisan voting patterns across its suburban and exurban areas. Incumbent Mike Kennedy secured the GOP nomination with 78.7 percent of delegate support at the state convention in late April 2026, bypassing a contested primary and unifying party resources ahead of the November general election. Democratic nominee Jonny Larsen faces structural headwinds in a district rated solidly Republican by nonpartisan analysts. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing anticipates little disruption absent major late-cycle developments such as candidate health events, ethics issues, or an unusually strong national Democratic performance that narrows historical margins.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Обсяг
$15,038Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Utah's 4th congressional district maintains a pronounced Republican tilt reinforced by recent court-ordered redistricting and consistent partisan voting patterns across its suburban and exurban areas. Incumbent Mike Kennedy secured the GOP nomination with 78.7 percent of delegate support at the state convention in late April 2026, bypassing a contested primary and unifying party resources ahead of the November general election. Democratic nominee Jonny Larsen faces structural headwinds in a district rated solidly Republican by nonpartisan analysts. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing anticipates little disruption absent major late-cycle developments such as candidate health events, ethics issues, or an unusually strong national Democratic performance that narrows historical margins.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$15,038Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Utah's 4th congressional district maintains a pronounced Republican tilt reinforced by recent court-ordered redistricting and consistent partisan voting patterns across its suburban and exurban areas. Incumbent Mike Kennedy secured the GOP nomination with 78.7 percent of delegate support at the state convention in late April 2026, bypassing a contested primary and unifying party resources ahead of the November general election. Democratic nominee Jonny Larsen faces structural headwinds in a district rated solidly Republican by nonpartisan analysts. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing anticipates little disruption absent major late-cycle developments such as candidate health events, ethics issues, or an unusually strong national Democratic performance that narrows historical margins.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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