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Вибори·Первинні

NY-04 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for NY-04 Democratic Primary Winner
Вибори·Первинні

NY-04 Democratic Primary Winner

Laura Gillen 86%

Nicholas Sciretta 11%

Taylor Darling 4.5%

Gian Jones <1%

Polymarket

$18,925 Обс.

Laura Gillen 86%

Nicholas Sciretta 11%

Taylor Darling 4.5%

Gian Jones <1%

Polymarket

$18,925 Обс.

Laura Gillen

$6,360 Обс.

86%

Nicholas Sciretta

$8,783 Обс.

11%

Taylor Darling

$2,126 Обс.

5%

Gian Jones

$1,656 Обс.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Laura Gillen maintains a commanding lead in the June 23 Democratic primary for New York’s 4th congressional district, backed by over $2 million in fundraising and $1.5 million in cash on hand compared with challengers who have each raised under $30,000. Her January 2026 vote to fund the Department of Homeland Security, which included Immigration and Customs Enforcement appropriations, prompted progressive challengers including former Assembly member Taylor Darling, Nicholas Sciretta, and Gian Jones to enter the race. The fragmented field, combined with an endorsement from Nassau County Democratic leader Jay Jacobs and the closed primary’s low-turnout dynamics, has solidified trader consensus around Gillen’s structural advantages ahead of the vote. No public polls have been released to date.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$18,925
Дата завершення
Jun 23, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Dec 1, 2025, 3:58 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Laura Gillen maintains a commanding lead in the June 23 Democratic primary for New York’s 4th congressional district, backed by over $2 million in fundraising and $1.5 million in cash on hand compared with challengers who have each raised under $30,000. Her January 2026 vote to fund the Department of Homeland Security, which included Immigration and Customs Enforcement appropriations, prompted progressive challengers including former Assembly member Taylor Darling, Nicholas Sciretta, and Gian Jones to enter the race. The fragmented field, combined with an endorsement from Nassau County Democratic leader Jay Jacobs and the closed primary’s low-turnout dynamics, has solidified trader consensus around Gillen’s structural advantages ahead of the vote. No public polls have been released to date.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$18,925
Дата завершення
Jun 23, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Dec 1, 2025, 3:58 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«NY-04 Democratic Primary Winner» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 4 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Laura Gillen» з 86%, далі «Nicholas Sciretta» з 11%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «NY-04 Democratic Primary Winner» згенерував $18.9K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Dec 1, 2025. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «NY-04 Democratic Primary Winner», перегляньте 4 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «NY-04 Democratic Primary Winner» — «Laura Gillen» з 86%. Наступний — «Nicholas Sciretta» з 11%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «NY-04 Democratic Primary Winner» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.