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Вибори·Трамп

NY-12 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for NY-12 Democratic Primary Winner
Вибори·Трамп

NY-12 Democratic Primary Winner

Alex Bores 46%

Micah Lasher 45%

Jack Schlossberg 14%

Cameron Kasky <1%

Polymarket

$363,225 Обс.

Alex Bores 46%

Micah Lasher 45%

Jack Schlossberg 14%

Cameron Kasky <1%

Polymarket

$363,225 Обс.

Alex Bores

$8,315 Обс.

46%

Micah Lasher

$17,268 Обс.

45%

Jack Schlossberg

$12,167 Обс.

14%

Cameron Kasky

$5,967 Обс.

<1%

Keith Powers

$6,124 Обс.

<1%

Liz Krueger

$58,696 Обс.

<1%

Erik Bottcher

$4,521 Обс.

<1%

Carolyn Maloney

$4,774 Обс.

<1%

Brad Hoylman-Sigal

$7,418 Обс.

<1%

Gale Brewer

$4,244 Обс.

<1%

Brad Lander

$80,895 Обс.

<1%

Lina Khan

$41,371 Обс.

<1%

Julie Menin

$25,361 Обс.

<1%

Chelsea Clinton

$10,172 Обс.

<1%

Liam Elkind

$4,367 Обс.

<1%

Scott Stringer

$58,778 Обс.

<1%

Andrew Cuomo

$4,821 Обс.

<1%

Cynthia Nixon

$4,304 Обс.

<1%

George Conway

$3,664 Обс.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In the Democratic primary for New York's 12th Congressional District on June 23, trader consensus reflects a tight contest between Assembly members Alex Bores and Micah Lasher, driven by their geographic bases on the Upper East Side and Upper West Side respectively. Nadler's endorsement of Lasher and support from major donors like Michael Bloomberg have bolstered his position, while Bores has drawn attention through legislative priorities such as AI regulation and faces opposition spending. Jack Schlossberg adds name recognition but trails in implied probabilities amid a crowded field. Older voters, projected to comprise 65-75% of turnout, and recent candidate forums on issues like foreign policy have kept the race competitive, with separation likely hinging on final campaign momentum and district-specific turnout patterns in this open-seat contest.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$363,225
Дата завершення
Jun 23, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Nov 21, 2025, 10:47 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In the Democratic primary for New York's 12th Congressional District on June 23, trader consensus reflects a tight contest between Assembly members Alex Bores and Micah Lasher, driven by their geographic bases on the Upper East Side and Upper West Side respectively. Nadler's endorsement of Lasher and support from major donors like Michael Bloomberg have bolstered his position, while Bores has drawn attention through legislative priorities such as AI regulation and faces opposition spending. Jack Schlossberg adds name recognition but trails in implied probabilities amid a crowded field. Older voters, projected to comprise 65-75% of turnout, and recent candidate forums on issues like foreign policy have kept the race competitive, with separation likely hinging on final campaign momentum and district-specific turnout patterns in this open-seat contest.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$363,225
Дата завершення
Jun 23, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Nov 21, 2025, 10:47 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«NY-12 Democratic Primary Winner» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 19 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Alex Bores» з 46%, далі «Micah Lasher» з 45%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «NY-12 Democratic Primary Winner» згенерував $363.2K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Nov 21, 2025. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «NY-12 Democratic Primary Winner», перегляньте 19 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «NY-12 Democratic Primary Winner» — «Alex Bores» з 46%. Наступний — «Micah Lasher» з 45%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «NY-12 Democratic Primary Winner» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.