Trump's approval rating has trended downward throughout 2026, recently reaching new lows near 33-38 percent amid ongoing military actions against Iran that began with strikes in mid-July. Polling averages from sources including The Economist/YouGov, Gallup, and the New York Times reflect this decline, driven by foreign policy developments, affordability pressures, and economic sentiment ahead of the November midterms. Earlier 2026 readings started higher following the January 2025 inauguration but have shown limited recovery despite policy actions. Key variables for any rebound in the remainder of the year include shifts in the Iran conflict, legislative outcomes on spending or taxes, and midterm election results that could alter the political environment. Traders assess these factors against historical patterns of second-term approval volatility.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHow high will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?
How high will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?
НОВЕ
Dec 31, 2026
↑ 44%
6%
↑ 45%
4%
↑ 46%
6%
↑ 47%
11%
↑ 48%
6%
↑ 49%
5%
↑ 50%
7%
$7,511 Обс.
↑ 44%
$3,192 Обс.
6%
↑ 45%
$300 Обс.
4%
↑ 46%
$1,036 Обс.
6%
↑ 47%
$480 Обс.
11%
↑ 48%
$779 Обс.
6%
↑ 49%
$656 Обс.
5%
↑ 50%
$1,067 Обс.
7%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or higher than the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.Trump's approval rating has trended downward throughout 2026, recently reaching new lows near 33-38 percent amid ongoing military actions against Iran that began with strikes in mid-July. Polling averages from sources including The Economist/YouGov, Gallup, and the New York Times reflect this decline, driven by foreign policy developments, affordability pressures, and economic sentiment ahead of the November midterms. Earlier 2026 readings started higher following the January 2025 inauguration but have shown limited recovery despite policy actions. Key variables for any rebound in the remainder of the year include shifts in the Iran conflict, legislative outcomes on spending or taxes, and midterm election results that could alter the political environment. Traders assess these factors against historical patterns of second-term approval volatility.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or higher than the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Ринок відкрито: Dec 11, 2025, 7:33 PM ET
Обсяг
$7,511Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 11, 2025, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or higher than the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.Trump's approval rating has trended downward throughout 2026, recently reaching new lows near 33-38 percent amid ongoing military actions against Iran that began with strikes in mid-July. Polling averages from sources including The Economist/YouGov, Gallup, and the New York Times reflect this decline, driven by foreign policy developments, affordability pressures, and economic sentiment ahead of the November midterms. Earlier 2026 readings started higher following the January 2025 inauguration but have shown limited recovery despite policy actions. Key variables for any rebound in the remainder of the year include shifts in the Iran conflict, legislative outcomes on spending or taxes, and midterm election results that could alter the political environment. Traders assess these factors against historical patterns of second-term approval volatility.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or higher than the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Обсяг
$7,511Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 11, 2025, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trump's approval rating has trended downward throughout 2026, recently reaching new lows near 33-38 percent amid ongoing military actions against Iran that began with strikes in mid-July. Polling averages from sources including The Economist/YouGov, Gallup, and the New York Times reflect this decline, driven by foreign policy developments, affordability pressures, and economic sentiment ahead of the November midterms. Earlier 2026 readings started higher following the January 2025 inauguration but have shown limited recovery despite policy actions. Key variables for any rebound in the remainder of the year include shifts in the Iran conflict, legislative outcomes on spending or taxes, and midterm election results that could alter the political environment. Traders assess these factors against historical patterns of second-term approval volatility.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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