Abelardo de la Espriella holds a commanding 98.2% implied probability in this Antioquia-specific market because the department ranks among Colombia’s most reliably conservative regions, with deep structural support from Uribista networks and right-wing coalitions. De la Espriella outperformed expectations in the May 31 first round across these strongholds, capturing roughly 44% nationally while Cepeda reached 41%, and first-round departmental patterns already signaled a clear advantage for the right-wing candidate. The June 21 runoff occurs in a polarized contest between de la Espriella’s hardline security platform and Cepeda’s left-wing agenda tied to the incumbent Historic Pact. While late shifts in turnout, cross-endorsements from eliminated centrists, or regional events could narrow margins, Antioquia’s consistent voting history and de la Espriella’s established edge make a reversal in departmental results unlikely under current conditions.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMỚI
MỚI
Jun 22, 2026
Abelardo de la Espriella
98%
Iván Cepeda Castro
2%
MỚI
MỚI
Jun 22, 2026
Abelardo de la Espriella
$1,168 KL.
98%
Iván Cepeda Castro
$1,208 KL.
2%
The second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election is currently scheduled for June 21, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most votes from the Department of Antioquia in the second round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of the second round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Abelardo de la Espriella holds a commanding 98.2% implied probability in this Antioquia-specific market because the department ranks among Colombia’s most reliably conservative regions, with deep structural support from Uribista networks and right-wing coalitions. De la Espriella outperformed expectations in the May 31 first round across these strongholds, capturing roughly 44% nationally while Cepeda reached 41%, and first-round departmental patterns already signaled a clear advantage for the right-wing candidate. The June 21 runoff occurs in a polarized contest between de la Espriella’s hardline security platform and Cepeda’s left-wing agenda tied to the incumbent Historic Pact. While late shifts in turnout, cross-endorsements from eliminated centrists, or regional events could narrow margins, Antioquia’s consistent voting history and de la Espriella’s established edge make a reversal in departmental results unlikely under current conditions.
The second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election is currently scheduled for June 21, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most votes from the Department of Antioquia in the second round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of the second round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most votes from the Department of Antioquia in the second round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of the second round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Thị trường mở: Jun 5, 2026, 3:24 PM ET
Khối lượng
$2,376Ngày kết thúc
Jun 22, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 5, 2026, 3:24 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election is currently scheduled for June 21, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most votes from the Department of Antioquia in the second round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of the second round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Abelardo de la Espriella holds a commanding 98.2% implied probability in this Antioquia-specific market because the department ranks among Colombia’s most reliably conservative regions, with deep structural support from Uribista networks and right-wing coalitions. De la Espriella outperformed expectations in the May 31 first round across these strongholds, capturing roughly 44% nationally while Cepeda reached 41%, and first-round departmental patterns already signaled a clear advantage for the right-wing candidate. The June 21 runoff occurs in a polarized contest between de la Espriella’s hardline security platform and Cepeda’s left-wing agenda tied to the incumbent Historic Pact. While late shifts in turnout, cross-endorsements from eliminated centrists, or regional events could narrow margins, Antioquia’s consistent voting history and de la Espriella’s established edge make a reversal in departmental results unlikely under current conditions.
The second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election is currently scheduled for June 21, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most votes from the Department of Antioquia in the second round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of the second round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most votes from the Department of Antioquia in the second round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of the second round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Khối lượng
$2,376Ngày kết thúc
Jun 22, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 5, 2026, 3:24 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Abelardo de la Espriella holds a commanding 98.2% implied probability in this Antioquia-specific market because the department ranks among Colombia’s most reliably conservative regions, with deep structural support from Uribista networks and right-wing coalitions. De la Espriella outperformed expectations in the May 31 first round across these strongholds, capturing roughly 44% nationally while Cepeda reached 41%, and first-round departmental patterns already signaled a clear advantage for the right-wing candidate. The June 21 runoff occurs in a polarized contest between de la Espriella’s hardline security platform and Cepeda’s left-wing agenda tied to the incumbent Historic Pact. While late shifts in turnout, cross-endorsements from eliminated centrists, or regional events could narrow margins, Antioquia’s consistent voting history and de la Espriella’s established edge make a reversal in departmental results unlikely under current conditions.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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