Recent meteorological observations and short-range model consensus from the China Meteorological Administration and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show persistent cloud cover and light rain over Beijing on May 16, limiting solar insolation and suppressing daytime heating to produce a maximum of 25°C or below. This synoptic setup aligns with the market’s near-certain 100% implied probability for that outcome, reflecting traders’ assessment of current atmospheric conditions against typical mid-May climatology of 26–28°C. A realistic challenge would require rapid clearing of clouds or an unexpected shift in steering flow that allows greater surface heating before sunset; however, ongoing monitoring through the afternoon will likely lock in the cooler reading unless those variables change markedly.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Beijing on May 16?
Highest temperature in Beijing on May 16?
25°C or below 100.0%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$83,000 KL.
$83,000 KL.
May 16, 2026
25°C or below
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
25°C or below 100.0%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$83,000 KL.
$83,000 KL.
May 16, 2026
25°C or below
$14,888 KL.
Yes
26°C
$15,394 KL.
No
27°C
$9,774 KL.
No
28°C
$11,484 KL.
No
29°C
$6,863 KL.
No
30°C
$7,280 KL.
No
31°C
$3,486 KL.
No
32°C
$3,554 KL.
No
33°C
$6,336 KL.
No
34°C
$2,652 KL.
No
35°C or higher
$1,288 KL.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent meteorological observations and short-range model consensus from the China Meteorological Administration and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show persistent cloud cover and light rain over Beijing on May 16, limiting solar insolation and suppressing daytime heating to produce a maximum of 25°C or below. This synoptic setup aligns with the market’s near-certain 100% implied probability for that outcome, reflecting traders’ assessment of current atmospheric conditions against typical mid-May climatology of 26–28°C. A realistic challenge would require rapid clearing of clouds or an unexpected shift in steering flow that allows greater surface heating before sunset; however, ongoing monitoring through the afternoon will likely lock in the cooler reading unless those variables change markedly.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 14, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Khối lượng
$83,000Ngày kết thúc
May 16, 2026Thị trường mở
May 14, 2026, 12:12 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: Yes
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent meteorological observations and short-range model consensus from the China Meteorological Administration and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show persistent cloud cover and light rain over Beijing on May 16, limiting solar insolation and suppressing daytime heating to produce a maximum of 25°C or below. This synoptic setup aligns with the market’s near-certain 100% implied probability for that outcome, reflecting traders’ assessment of current atmospheric conditions against typical mid-May climatology of 26–28°C. A realistic challenge would require rapid clearing of clouds or an unexpected shift in steering flow that allows greater surface heating before sunset; however, ongoing monitoring through the afternoon will likely lock in the cooler reading unless those variables change markedly.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$83,000Ngày kết thúc
May 16, 2026Thị trường mở
May 14, 2026, 12:12 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: Yes
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: Yes
Recent meteorological observations and short-range model consensus from the China Meteorological Administration and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show persistent cloud cover and light rain over Beijing on May 16, limiting solar insolation and suppressing daytime heating to produce a maximum of 25°C or below. This synoptic setup aligns with the market’s near-certain 100% implied probability for that outcome, reflecting traders’ assessment of current atmospheric conditions against typical mid-May climatology of 26–28°C. A realistic challenge would require rapid clearing of clouds or an unexpected shift in steering flow that allows greater surface heating before sunset; however, ongoing monitoring through the afternoon will likely lock in the cooler reading unless those variables change markedly.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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