Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 41.5% probability for Jakarta's highest temperature reaching exactly 34°C on May 14, reflecting BMKG's most recent forecast of daytime highs around 33–34°C amid the seasonal shift to drier conditions in early May. Reduced rainfall—typical as the wet season wanes—combined with high solar insolation and Jakarta's urban heat island effect, has driven recent daily maxima into the mid-30s°C range, exceeding historical May averages of 32–33°C. Global models like ECMWF show consensus for mostly clear skies and light winds, favoring slight intensification potential, though sea breezes or unexpected clouds could cap peaks at 33°C. Watch BMKG's evening update for refined hourly projections ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Jakarta on May 14?
Highest temperature in Jakarta on May 14?
34°C 39%
35°C 22%
33°C 15%
36°C 12%
$22,072 KL.
$22,072 KL.
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
3%
33°C
15%
34°C
39%
35°C
26%
36°C
12%
37°C
2%
38°C or higher
<1%
34°C 39%
35°C 22%
33°C 15%
36°C 12%
$22,072 KL.
$22,072 KL.
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
3%
33°C
15%
34°C
39%
35°C
26%
36°C
12%
37°C
2%
38°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 12, 2026, 12:40 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 41.5% probability for Jakarta's highest temperature reaching exactly 34°C on May 14, reflecting BMKG's most recent forecast of daytime highs around 33–34°C amid the seasonal shift to drier conditions in early May. Reduced rainfall—typical as the wet season wanes—combined with high solar insolation and Jakarta's urban heat island effect, has driven recent daily maxima into the mid-30s°C range, exceeding historical May averages of 32–33°C. Global models like ECMWF show consensus for mostly clear skies and light winds, favoring slight intensification potential, though sea breezes or unexpected clouds could cap peaks at 33°C. Watch BMKG's evening update for refined hourly projections ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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