Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in Kuala Lumpur's equatorial climate, where May average highs hover around 33°C but recent heavy thunderstorms since May 11—driven by moist southwest monsoon flows—have clouded model consensus for May 15. Malaysian Meteorological Department forecasts isolated thunderstorms with daytime highs implied at 31-32°C per global models like ECMWF and GFS, slightly favoring 31-33°C outcomes at 52% amid potential afternoon cloud cover suppressing peaks below historical norms. Ongoing ENSO-neutral conditions transitioning toward El Niño add subtle warming pressure, yet convective variability creates the 45-55% spread; watch MetMalaysia's evening updates for refined guidance on peak timing and intensity.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on May 15?
Highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on May 15?
32°C 30%
31°C 24%
33°C 19%
34°C or higher 11%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
9%
31°C
24%
32°C
30%
33°C
19%
34°C or higher
11%
32°C 30%
31°C 24%
33°C 19%
34°C or higher 11%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
9%
31°C
24%
32°C
30%
33°C
19%
34°C or higher
11%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 13, 2026, 1:09 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in Kuala Lumpur's equatorial climate, where May average highs hover around 33°C but recent heavy thunderstorms since May 11—driven by moist southwest monsoon flows—have clouded model consensus for May 15. Malaysian Meteorological Department forecasts isolated thunderstorms with daytime highs implied at 31-32°C per global models like ECMWF and GFS, slightly favoring 31-33°C outcomes at 52% amid potential afternoon cloud cover suppressing peaks below historical norms. Ongoing ENSO-neutral conditions transitioning toward El Niño add subtle warming pressure, yet convective variability creates the 45-55% spread; watch MetMalaysia's evening updates for refined guidance on peak timing and intensity.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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