Latest short-range forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Spain’s AEMET indicate a daytime maximum near 22°C in Madrid on May 17, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge promoting gradual warming under partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds. These conditions align with mid-May climatological norms for central Spain, where average highs range 21–23°C, narrowing the probability distribution and explaining the dominant market-implied odds for 22°C. Minor model spread around afternoon peak temperatures accounts for the secondary weight on 23°C, while distant thresholds remain sidelined absent unusual advection or insolation shifts. Traders monitor real-time AEMET observations for any final adjustments before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Madrid on May 17?
Highest temperature in Madrid on May 17?
22°C 79%
23°C 23%
24°C 2.5%
26°C <1%
$41,194 KL.
$41,194 KL.
May 17, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
79%
23°C
23%
24°C
3%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
22°C 79%
23°C 23%
24°C 2.5%
26°C <1%
$41,194 KL.
$41,194 KL.
May 17, 2026
17°C or below
$2,658 KL.
<1%
18°C
$1,647 KL.
<1%
19°C
$5,373 KL.
<1%
20°C
$2,596 KL.
<1%
21°C
$7,114 KL.
<1%
22°C
$6,916 KL.
79%
23°C
$6,289 KL.
23%
24°C
$3,839 KL.
3%
25°C
$2,621 KL.
<1%
26°C
$1,518 KL.
<1%
27°C or higher
$1,214 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest short-range forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Spain’s AEMET indicate a daytime maximum near 22°C in Madrid on May 17, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge promoting gradual warming under partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds. These conditions align with mid-May climatological norms for central Spain, where average highs range 21–23°C, narrowing the probability distribution and explaining the dominant market-implied odds for 22°C. Minor model spread around afternoon peak temperatures accounts for the secondary weight on 23°C, while distant thresholds remain sidelined absent unusual advection or insolation shifts. Traders monitor real-time AEMET observations for any final adjustments before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Khối lượng
$41,194Ngày kết thúc
May 17, 2026Thị trường mở
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest short-range forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Spain’s AEMET indicate a daytime maximum near 22°C in Madrid on May 17, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge promoting gradual warming under partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds. These conditions align with mid-May climatological norms for central Spain, where average highs range 21–23°C, narrowing the probability distribution and explaining the dominant market-implied odds for 22°C. Minor model spread around afternoon peak temperatures accounts for the secondary weight on 23°C, while distant thresholds remain sidelined absent unusual advection or insolation shifts. Traders monitor real-time AEMET observations for any final adjustments before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$41,194Ngày kết thúc
May 17, 2026Thị trường mở
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDLatest short-range forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Spain’s AEMET indicate a daytime maximum near 22°C in Madrid on May 17, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge promoting gradual warming under partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds. These conditions align with mid-May climatological norms for central Spain, where average highs range 21–23°C, narrowing the probability distribution and explaining the dominant market-implied odds for 22°C. Minor model spread around afternoon peak temperatures accounts for the secondary weight on 23°C, while distant thresholds remain sidelined absent unusual advection or insolation shifts. Traders monitor real-time AEMET observations for any final adjustments before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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