PAGASA's latest 5-day forecast, updated May 13 morning, projects a 35°C high for Metro Manila on May 14 under partly cloudy to cloudy skies with 60% isolated thunderstorm risk, anchoring trader consensus at 44% implied probability for 35°C while elevating 36°C to 25% amid lingering heat from yesterday's 36.7°C peak at Science Garden station. Peak dry-season conditions—enhanced solar insolation, easterly winds, and urban heat island effects—sustain elevated air temperatures above May's 34°C historical average, though convective activity could cap intensities below 37°C (1.7%). Monitor PAGASA's 5 PM bulletin and overnight model runs for shifts in thunderstorm coverage or heat index trends influencing peak readings.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Manila on May 14?
Highest temperature in Manila on May 14?
35°C 48%
34°C 25%
36°C 16%
33°C 7.2%
$14,033 KL.
$14,033 KL.
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
2%
33°C
7%
34°C
25%
35°C
48%
36°C
16%
37°C
2%
38°C or higher
1%
35°C 48%
34°C 25%
36°C 16%
33°C 7.2%
$14,033 KL.
$14,033 KL.
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
2%
33°C
7%
34°C
25%
35°C
48%
36°C
16%
37°C
2%
38°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 12, 2026, 12:16 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...PAGASA's latest 5-day forecast, updated May 13 morning, projects a 35°C high for Metro Manila on May 14 under partly cloudy to cloudy skies with 60% isolated thunderstorm risk, anchoring trader consensus at 44% implied probability for 35°C while elevating 36°C to 25% amid lingering heat from yesterday's 36.7°C peak at Science Garden station. Peak dry-season conditions—enhanced solar insolation, easterly winds, and urban heat island effects—sustain elevated air temperatures above May's 34°C historical average, though convective activity could cap intensities below 37°C (1.7%). Monitor PAGASA's 5 PM bulletin and overnight model runs for shifts in thunderstorm coverage or heat index trends influencing peak readings.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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