Current forecast models from the Deutscher Wetterdienst and ECMWF ensembles indicate a daily maximum near 16°C at Munich Airport, driven by moderate high pressure, light northerly flow, and partial cloud cover that restricts daytime solar heating while maintaining temperatures above seasonal lows. Afternoon peaks are projected between 15°C and 17°C, with the precise outcome hinging on cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing efficiency. This narrow range explains the closely matched market-implied odds favoring 16°C and 15°C over higher or lower thresholds. Historical May averages near 17–18°C provide context, yet today's stable synoptic pattern supports the current trader consensus amid minimal model spread.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Munich on May 17?
16°C 68%
15°C 22%
17°C 5.5%
18°C <1%
$29,660 KL.
$29,660 KL.
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
22%
16°C
68%
17°C
5%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
16°C 68%
15°C 22%
17°C 5.5%
18°C <1%
$29,660 KL.
$29,660 KL.
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
22%
16°C
68%
17°C
5%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMCurrent forecast models from the Deutscher Wetterdienst and ECMWF ensembles indicate a daily maximum near 16°C at Munich Airport, driven by moderate high pressure, light northerly flow, and partial cloud cover that restricts daytime solar heating while maintaining temperatures above seasonal lows. Afternoon peaks are projected between 15°C and 17°C, with the precise outcome hinging on cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing efficiency. This narrow range explains the closely matched market-implied odds favoring 16°C and 15°C over higher or lower thresholds. Historical May averages near 17–18°C provide context, yet today's stable synoptic pattern supports the current trader consensus amid minimal model spread.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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