Recent European model consensus, including ECMWF runs updated within the past 24 hours, points to a daytime maximum near 15–16 °C for Munich under stable high-pressure conditions and moderate northwesterly flow. These temperatures align closely with mid-May climatological normals of 16–18 °C while reflecting a slight cool anomaly from lingering Atlantic moisture. Trader positioning at 49 % for 16 °C and 28.5 % for 15 °C incorporates both the central forecast track and ensemble spread that keeps adjacent values competitive until final observations at 18:00 UTC. No significant warm-air advection or clear-sky intensification is expected before the daily peak window closes, keeping the probability-weighted range tightly clustered around these two outcomes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Munich on May 17?
16°C 49%
15°C 30%
17°C 18%
14°C 3.8%
$14,672 KL.
$14,672 KL.
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
4%
15°C
30%
16°C
49%
17°C
18%
18°C
4%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
16°C 49%
15°C 30%
17°C 18%
14°C 3.8%
$14,672 KL.
$14,672 KL.
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
4%
15°C
30%
16°C
49%
17°C
18%
18°C
4%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMRecent European model consensus, including ECMWF runs updated within the past 24 hours, points to a daytime maximum near 15–16 °C for Munich under stable high-pressure conditions and moderate northwesterly flow. These temperatures align closely with mid-May climatological normals of 16–18 °C while reflecting a slight cool anomaly from lingering Atlantic moisture. Trader positioning at 49 % for 16 °C and 28.5 % for 15 °C incorporates both the central forecast track and ensemble spread that keeps adjacent values competitive until final observations at 18:00 UTC. No significant warm-air advection or clear-sky intensification is expected before the daily peak window closes, keeping the probability-weighted range tightly clustered around these two outcomes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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