Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a 64-65°F high in Central Park on May 14 (32.5% implied probability), narrowly ahead of 62-63°F (25.5%), mirroring National Weather Service guidance for a daytime peak near 63-65°F amid mostly cloudy skies and 30-80% shower chances. This clustering reflects a persistent cool upper trough over the Northeast, introducing mid-level cold air that caps boundary-layer heating while scattered precipitation further limits insolation. GFS and ECMWF ensemble models exhibit tight agreement in the low-to-mid 60s, a stark departure from the 71°F climatological May average. Differentiating factors include afternoon cloud breaks versus persistent overcast and northerly winds; watch NWS updates and KNYC observations for resolution as uncertainty narrows.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in NYC on May 14?
Highest temperature in NYC on May 14?
64-65°F 33%
66-67°F 23%
62-63°F 21%
68-69°F 13%
MỚI
$34,562 KL.
MỚI
$34,562 KL.
May 14, 2026
57°F or below
1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
11%
62-63°F
21%
64-65°F
33%
66-67°F
23%
68-69°F
13%
70-71°F
3%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76°F or higher
1%
64-65°F 33%
66-67°F 23%
62-63°F 21%
68-69°F 13%
MỚI
$34,562 KL.
MỚI
$34,562 KL.
May 14, 2026
57°F or below
$876 KL.
1%
58-59°F
$1,712 KL.
1%
60-61°F
$6,717 KL.
11%
62-63°F
$4,001 KL.
21%
64-65°F
$2,158 KL.
33%
66-67°F
$2,813 KL.
23%
68-69°F
$2,963 KL.
13%
70-71°F
$3,130 KL.
3%
72-73°F
$3,167 KL.
<1%
74-75°F
$1,501 KL.
<1%
76°F or higher
$5,864 KL.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a 64-65°F high in Central Park on May 14 (32.5% implied probability), narrowly ahead of 62-63°F (25.5%), mirroring National Weather Service guidance for a daytime peak near 63-65°F amid mostly cloudy skies and 30-80% shower chances. This clustering reflects a persistent cool upper trough over the Northeast, introducing mid-level cold air that caps boundary-layer heating while scattered precipitation further limits insolation. GFS and ECMWF ensemble models exhibit tight agreement in the low-to-mid 60s, a stark departure from the 71°F climatological May average. Differentiating factors include afternoon cloud breaks versus persistent overcast and northerly winds; watch NWS updates and KNYC observations for resolution as uncertainty narrows.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 12, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Khối lượng
$34,562Ngày kết thúc
May 14, 2026Thị trường mở
May 12, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a 64-65°F high in Central Park on May 14 (32.5% implied probability), narrowly ahead of 62-63°F (25.5%), mirroring National Weather Service guidance for a daytime peak near 63-65°F amid mostly cloudy skies and 30-80% shower chances. This clustering reflects a persistent cool upper trough over the Northeast, introducing mid-level cold air that caps boundary-layer heating while scattered precipitation further limits insolation. GFS and ECMWF ensemble models exhibit tight agreement in the low-to-mid 60s, a stark departure from the 71°F climatological May average. Differentiating factors include afternoon cloud breaks versus persistent overcast and northerly winds; watch NWS updates and KNYC observations for resolution as uncertainty narrows.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$34,562Ngày kết thúc
May 14, 2026Thị trường mở
May 12, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a 64-65°F high in Central Park on May 14 (32.5% implied probability), narrowly ahead of 62-63°F (25.5%), mirroring National Weather Service guidance for a daytime peak near 63-65°F amid mostly cloudy skies and 30-80% shower chances. This clustering reflects a persistent cool upper trough over the Northeast, introducing mid-level cold air that caps boundary-layer heating while scattered precipitation further limits insolation. GFS and ECMWF ensemble models exhibit tight agreement in the low-to-mid 60s, a stark departure from the 71°F climatological May average. Differentiating factors include afternoon cloud breaks versus persistent overcast and northerly winds; watch NWS updates and KNYC observations for resolution as uncertainty narrows.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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