National Weather Service models and ensemble forecasts project a maximum temperature of 76-77°F in New York City today under stable high pressure and light southerly flow that limits afternoon mixing. This consensus aligns with the market's 93% implied probability for that range, reflecting consistent guidance from the Global Forecast System and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts runs over the past 48 hours. Historical May averages near 70°F provide climatological context, while current dew-point and wind observations show no rapid warming signals. A shift in steering currents or unexpected boundary-layer heating could push readings into the upper 70s, though such adjustments remain low-probability before the afternoon verification window closes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in NYC on May 16?
Highest temperature in NYC on May 16?
76-77°F 95%
78-79°F 5.9%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$152,827 KL.
$152,827 KL.
May 16, 2026
76-77°F
95%
78-79°F
6%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
<1%
84°F or higher
<1%
76-77°F 95%
78-79°F 5.9%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$152,827 KL.
$152,827 KL.
May 16, 2026
76-77°F
$31,308 KL.
95%
78-79°F
$18,056 KL.
6%
80-81°F
$24,953 KL.
1%
82-83°F
$22,741 KL.
<1%
84°F or higher
$16,853 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service models and ensemble forecasts project a maximum temperature of 76-77°F in New York City today under stable high pressure and light southerly flow that limits afternoon mixing. This consensus aligns with the market's 93% implied probability for that range, reflecting consistent guidance from the Global Forecast System and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts runs over the past 48 hours. Historical May averages near 70°F provide climatological context, while current dew-point and wind observations show no rapid warming signals. A shift in steering currents or unexpected boundary-layer heating could push readings into the upper 70s, though such adjustments remain low-probability before the afternoon verification window closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Khối lượng
$152,827Ngày kết thúc
May 16, 2026Thị trường mở
May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service models and ensemble forecasts project a maximum temperature of 76-77°F in New York City today under stable high pressure and light southerly flow that limits afternoon mixing. This consensus aligns with the market's 93% implied probability for that range, reflecting consistent guidance from the Global Forecast System and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts runs over the past 48 hours. Historical May averages near 70°F provide climatological context, while current dew-point and wind observations show no rapid warming signals. A shift in steering currents or unexpected boundary-layer heating could push readings into the upper 70s, though such adjustments remain low-probability before the afternoon verification window closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$152,827Ngày kết thúc
May 16, 2026Thị trường mở
May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service models and ensemble forecasts project a maximum temperature of 76-77°F in New York City today under stable high pressure and light southerly flow that limits afternoon mixing. This consensus aligns with the market's 93% implied probability for that range, reflecting consistent guidance from the Global Forecast System and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts runs over the past 48 hours. Historical May averages near 70°F provide climatological context, while current dew-point and wind observations show no rapid warming signals. A shift in steering currents or unexpected boundary-layer heating could push readings into the upper 70s, though such adjustments remain low-probability before the afternoon verification window closes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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