Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 12°C (39.5%) as Paris's highest temperature on May 14, reflecting the latest Météo-France guidance and ECMWF model consensus projecting a daytime maximum of 12°C amid overcast conditions and scattered showers. A persistent upper-level trough over western Europe drives cool Atlantic air advection via westerly winds at 15-40 km/h, capping 2m temperatures 6°C below May norms (typically 18-19°C) through extensive cloud cover that suppresses diurnal heating. Recent May 13 updates from ARPEGE and ECMWF runs shifted odds toward 11-13°C by confirming increased precipitation risk (55-70%) and minimal sunshine. Watch overnight 00Z model refreshes and initial observations from Paris-Montsouris station for potential refinements before evening peak heating.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Paris on May 14?
Highest temperature in Paris on May 14?
12°C 49%
13°C 23%
11°C 21.3%
14°C 5%
MỚI
$33,908 KL.
MỚI
$33,908 KL.
May 14, 2026
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
2%
11°C
21%
12°C
49%
13°C
23%
14°C
5%
15°C
1%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
12°C 49%
13°C 23%
11°C 21.3%
14°C 5%
MỚI
$33,908 KL.
MỚI
$33,908 KL.
May 14, 2026
7°C or below
$6,256 KL.
<1%
8°C
$1,068 KL.
<1%
9°C
$2,398 KL.
<1%
10°C
$2,530 KL.
2%
11°C
$3,618 KL.
21%
12°C
$3,590 KL.
49%
13°C
$4,600 KL.
23%
14°C
$3,944 KL.
5%
15°C
$2,386 KL.
1%
16°C
$2,261 KL.
<1%
17°C or higher
$1,355 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 12°C (39.5%) as Paris's highest temperature on May 14, reflecting the latest Météo-France guidance and ECMWF model consensus projecting a daytime maximum of 12°C amid overcast conditions and scattered showers. A persistent upper-level trough over western Europe drives cool Atlantic air advection via westerly winds at 15-40 km/h, capping 2m temperatures 6°C below May norms (typically 18-19°C) through extensive cloud cover that suppresses diurnal heating. Recent May 13 updates from ARPEGE and ECMWF runs shifted odds toward 11-13°C by confirming increased precipitation risk (55-70%) and minimal sunshine. Watch overnight 00Z model refreshes and initial observations from Paris-Montsouris station for potential refinements before evening peak heating.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 12, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Khối lượng
$33,908Ngày kết thúc
May 14, 2026Thị trường mở
May 12, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 12°C (39.5%) as Paris's highest temperature on May 14, reflecting the latest Météo-France guidance and ECMWF model consensus projecting a daytime maximum of 12°C amid overcast conditions and scattered showers. A persistent upper-level trough over western Europe drives cool Atlantic air advection via westerly winds at 15-40 km/h, capping 2m temperatures 6°C below May norms (typically 18-19°C) through extensive cloud cover that suppresses diurnal heating. Recent May 13 updates from ARPEGE and ECMWF runs shifted odds toward 11-13°C by confirming increased precipitation risk (55-70%) and minimal sunshine. Watch overnight 00Z model refreshes and initial observations from Paris-Montsouris station for potential refinements before evening peak heating.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$33,908Ngày kết thúc
May 14, 2026Thị trường mở
May 12, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 12°C (39.5%) as Paris's highest temperature on May 14, reflecting the latest Météo-France guidance and ECMWF model consensus projecting a daytime maximum of 12°C amid overcast conditions and scattered showers. A persistent upper-level trough over western Europe drives cool Atlantic air advection via westerly winds at 15-40 km/h, capping 2m temperatures 6°C below May norms (typically 18-19°C) through extensive cloud cover that suppresses diurnal heating. Recent May 13 updates from ARPEGE and ECMWF runs shifted odds toward 11-13°C by confirming increased precipitation risk (55-70%) and minimal sunshine. Watch overnight 00Z model refreshes and initial observations from Paris-Montsouris station for potential refinements before evening peak heating.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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