Latest European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts runs and Météo-France guidance show a maximum of 16°C in Paris today under persistent stratiform cloud cover and a cool northwesterly flow advecting maritime air. This setup suppresses diurnal warming, keeping afternoon temperatures capped near the seasonal norm for mid-May rather than the 18–19°C climatological average. Market consensus at 100% for 16°C reflects this strong model agreement and ongoing surface observations. Only an unanticipated break in cloud cover or a sharp shift in the steering pattern could push readings higher, but current conditions make such a jump improbable before official verification tonight.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Paris on May 16?
16°C 100.0%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$155,448 KL.
$155,448 KL.
16°C
100%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
16°C 100.0%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$155,448 KL.
$155,448 KL.
16°C
100%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Latest European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts runs and Météo-France guidance show a maximum of 16°C in Paris today under persistent stratiform cloud cover and a cool northwesterly flow advecting maritime air. This setup suppresses diurnal warming, keeping afternoon temperatures capped near the seasonal norm for mid-May rather than the 18–19°C climatological average. Market consensus at 100% for 16°C reflects this strong model agreement and ongoing surface observations. Only an unanticipated break in cloud cover or a sharp shift in the steering pattern could push readings higher, but current conditions make such a jump improbable before official verification tonight.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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