Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts indicate mostly cloudy conditions with light northwesterly winds over Paris on May 17, which will limit incoming shortwave radiation and suppress warm-air advection. These factors keep the expected daily maximum centered between 15°C and 16°C, roughly 2–3°C below the long-term May climatological average. Trader sentiment remains tightly balanced because modest variations in cloud thickness or brief afternoon sun breaks could shift the peak reading by 1–2°C either way. Morning model updates tomorrow will provide the final refinement of cloud timing and boundary-layer stability before the market resolves.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Paris on May 17?
16°C 49%
15°C 36%
17°C 14%
14°C 3.5%
$53,654 KL.
$53,654 KL.
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
3%
15°C
36%
16°C
49%
17°C
14%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
<1%
16°C 49%
15°C 36%
17°C 14%
14°C 3.5%
$53,654 KL.
$53,654 KL.
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
3%
15°C
36%
16°C
49%
17°C
14%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts indicate mostly cloudy conditions with light northwesterly winds over Paris on May 17, which will limit incoming shortwave radiation and suppress warm-air advection. These factors keep the expected daily maximum centered between 15°C and 16°C, roughly 2–3°C below the long-term May climatological average. Trader sentiment remains tightly balanced because modest variations in cloud thickness or brief afternoon sun breaks could shift the peak reading by 1–2°C either way. Morning model updates tomorrow will provide the final refinement of cloud timing and boundary-layer stability before the market resolves.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp