Ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and European modeling centers currently center the daily maximum temperature in Paris on May 17 near 15–16 °C, driven by persistent cloud cover and light winds that sharply limit surface heating and incoming solar radiation. These conditions align with the market’s heaviest positioning on 16 °C at 49.5 % implied probability, followed by 15 °C at 35.5 %, while the modest 11 % on 17 °C reflects the slim chance of brief afternoon clearing. Climatologically, mid-May highs average 17–19 °C, so the current outlook sits slightly below the seasonal baseline. Traders will monitor the final 00 UTC and 12 UTC model runs plus any rapid changes in cloud thickness overnight before the market resolves on official observations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Paris on May 17?
Highest temperature in Paris on May 17?
16°C 54%
15°C 31%
17°C 11%
14°C 4.5%
MỚI
$49,479 KL.
MỚI
$49,479 KL.
May 17, 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
5%
15°C
31%
16°C
54%
17°C
11%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
<1%
16°C 54%
15°C 31%
17°C 11%
14°C 4.5%
MỚI
$49,479 KL.
MỚI
$49,479 KL.
May 17, 2026
10°C or below
$1,110 KL.
<1%
11°C
$1,383 KL.
<1%
12°C
$2,708 KL.
<1%
13°C
$3,804 KL.
1%
14°C
$7,077 KL.
5%
15°C
$5,916 KL.
31%
16°C
$6,547 KL.
54%
17°C
$5,234 KL.
11%
18°C
$4,841 KL.
1%
19°C
$7,351 KL.
1%
20°C or higher
$3,512 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and European modeling centers currently center the daily maximum temperature in Paris on May 17 near 15–16 °C, driven by persistent cloud cover and light winds that sharply limit surface heating and incoming solar radiation. These conditions align with the market’s heaviest positioning on 16 °C at 49.5 % implied probability, followed by 15 °C at 35.5 %, while the modest 11 % on 17 °C reflects the slim chance of brief afternoon clearing. Climatologically, mid-May highs average 17–19 °C, so the current outlook sits slightly below the seasonal baseline. Traders will monitor the final 00 UTC and 12 UTC model runs plus any rapid changes in cloud thickness overnight before the market resolves on official observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Khối lượng
$49,479Ngày kết thúc
May 17, 2026Thị trường mở
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and European modeling centers currently center the daily maximum temperature in Paris on May 17 near 15–16 °C, driven by persistent cloud cover and light winds that sharply limit surface heating and incoming solar radiation. These conditions align with the market’s heaviest positioning on 16 °C at 49.5 % implied probability, followed by 15 °C at 35.5 %, while the modest 11 % on 17 °C reflects the slim chance of brief afternoon clearing. Climatologically, mid-May highs average 17–19 °C, so the current outlook sits slightly below the seasonal baseline. Traders will monitor the final 00 UTC and 12 UTC model runs plus any rapid changes in cloud thickness overnight before the market resolves on official observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$49,479Ngày kết thúc
May 17, 2026Thị trường mở
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETEnsemble forecasts from Météo-France and European modeling centers currently center the daily maximum temperature in Paris on May 17 near 15–16 °C, driven by persistent cloud cover and light winds that sharply limit surface heating and incoming solar radiation. These conditions align with the market’s heaviest positioning on 16 °C at 49.5 % implied probability, followed by 15 °C at 35.5 %, while the modest 11 % on 17 °C reflects the slim chance of brief afternoon clearing. Climatologically, mid-May highs average 17–19 °C, so the current outlook sits slightly below the seasonal baseline. Traders will monitor the final 00 UTC and 12 UTC model runs plus any rapid changes in cloud thickness overnight before the market resolves on official observations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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