Recent energy price volatility stemming from Middle East developments has pushed UK CPI to 3.1% in August, above the Bank of England’s July central projection, with direct energy effects expected to lift the headline rate further into September and Q4. Core inflation held steady at 2.6% and services at 3.4%, while producer prices rose more sharply, highlighting the distinction between transitory energy pass-through and potential second-round effects. Trader-implied probabilities remain evenly dispersed across the 2.7–4.0%+ ranges, reflecting uncertainty over the precise September outturn, the October energy price cap reset, and any broadening of domestic pressures ahead of the next BoE meeting. Market pricing aggregates real-capital bets on these near-term data and policy signals rather than point forecasts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtSeptember Inflation UK - Annual
September Inflation UK - Annual
≤2.7% 16%
3.7-3.9% 16%
4.0%+ 16%
2.8-3% 16%
MỚI
MỚI
Oct 21, 2026
≤2.7%
16%
2.8-3%
16%
3.1-3.3%
16%
3.4-3.6%
16%
3.7-3.9%
16%
4.0%+
16%
≤2.7% 16%
3.7-3.9% 16%
4.0%+ 16%
2.8-3% 16%
MỚI
MỚI
Oct 21, 2026
≤2.7%
$0 KL.
16%
2.8-3%
$0 KL.
16%
3.1-3.3%
$0 KL.
16%
3.4-3.6%
$40 KL.
16%
3.7-3.9%
$0 KL.
16%
4.0%+
$0 KL.
16%
This is a market about inflation in the United Kingdom over the 12-month period ending September 2026 as reported by the UK Office for National Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the UK Consumer Prices Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Office for National Statistics (ONS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS “Consumer Prices Index, UK” report released for September 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices#publications), currently scheduled to be released on October 21, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: this market will resolve only based on the Consumer Prices Index (CPI) figure. The “Consumer Prices Index including owner occupiers’ housing costs” (CPIH) will not qualify.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI UK news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the ONS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent energy price volatility stemming from Middle East developments has pushed UK CPI to 3.1% in August, above the Bank of England’s July central projection, with direct energy effects expected to lift the headline rate further into September and Q4. Core inflation held steady at 2.6% and services at 3.4%, while producer prices rose more sharply, highlighting the distinction between transitory energy pass-through and potential second-round effects. Trader-implied probabilities remain evenly dispersed across the 2.7–4.0%+ ranges, reflecting uncertainty over the precise September outturn, the October energy price cap reset, and any broadening of domestic pressures ahead of the next BoE meeting. Market pricing aggregates real-capital bets on these near-term data and policy signals rather than point forecasts.
This is a market about inflation in the United Kingdom over the 12-month period ending September 2026 as reported by the UK Office for National Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the UK Consumer Prices Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Office for National Statistics (ONS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS “Consumer Prices Index, UK” report released for September 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices#publications), currently scheduled to be released on October 21, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: this market will resolve only based on the Consumer Prices Index (CPI) figure. The “Consumer Prices Index including owner occupiers’ housing costs” (CPIH) will not qualify.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI UK news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the ONS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the UK Consumer Prices Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Office for National Statistics (ONS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS “Consumer Prices Index, UK” report released for September 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices#publications), currently scheduled to be released on October 21, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: this market will resolve only based on the Consumer Prices Index (CPI) figure. The “Consumer Prices Index including owner occupiers’ housing costs” (CPIH) will not qualify.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI UK news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the ONS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Thị trường mở: Sep 16, 2026, 6:27 PM ET
Khối lượng
$40Ngày kết thúc
Oct 21, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 16, 2026, 6:27 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about inflation in the United Kingdom over the 12-month period ending September 2026 as reported by the UK Office for National Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the UK Consumer Prices Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Office for National Statistics (ONS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS “Consumer Prices Index, UK” report released for September 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices#publications), currently scheduled to be released on October 21, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: this market will resolve only based on the Consumer Prices Index (CPI) figure. The “Consumer Prices Index including owner occupiers’ housing costs” (CPIH) will not qualify.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI UK news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the ONS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent energy price volatility stemming from Middle East developments has pushed UK CPI to 3.1% in August, above the Bank of England’s July central projection, with direct energy effects expected to lift the headline rate further into September and Q4. Core inflation held steady at 2.6% and services at 3.4%, while producer prices rose more sharply, highlighting the distinction between transitory energy pass-through and potential second-round effects. Trader-implied probabilities remain evenly dispersed across the 2.7–4.0%+ ranges, reflecting uncertainty over the precise September outturn, the October energy price cap reset, and any broadening of domestic pressures ahead of the next BoE meeting. Market pricing aggregates real-capital bets on these near-term data and policy signals rather than point forecasts.
This is a market about inflation in the United Kingdom over the 12-month period ending September 2026 as reported by the UK Office for National Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the UK Consumer Prices Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Office for National Statistics (ONS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS “Consumer Prices Index, UK” report released for September 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices#publications), currently scheduled to be released on October 21, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: this market will resolve only based on the Consumer Prices Index (CPI) figure. The “Consumer Prices Index including owner occupiers’ housing costs” (CPIH) will not qualify.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI UK news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the ONS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the UK Consumer Prices Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Office for National Statistics (ONS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS “Consumer Prices Index, UK” report released for September 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices#publications), currently scheduled to be released on October 21, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: this market will resolve only based on the Consumer Prices Index (CPI) figure. The “Consumer Prices Index including owner occupiers’ housing costs” (CPIH) will not qualify.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI UK news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the ONS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Khối lượng
$40Ngày kết thúc
Oct 21, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 16, 2026, 6:27 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent energy price volatility stemming from Middle East developments has pushed UK CPI to 3.1% in August, above the Bank of England’s July central projection, with direct energy effects expected to lift the headline rate further into September and Q4. Core inflation held steady at 2.6% and services at 3.4%, while producer prices rose more sharply, highlighting the distinction between transitory energy pass-through and potential second-round effects. Trader-implied probabilities remain evenly dispersed across the 2.7–4.0%+ ranges, reflecting uncertainty over the precise September outturn, the October energy price cap reset, and any broadening of domestic pressures ahead of the next BoE meeting. Market pricing aggregates real-capital bets on these near-term data and policy signals rather than point forecasts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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