Jerome Powell’s decision to remain on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors after stepping down as chair on May 15 has anchored trader expectations for the “Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?” market, with December 31, 2026, priced at 44 cents. His separate 14-year governor term runs through January 2028, and the April 29 announcement—explicitly tied to defending institutional independence amid ongoing administration pressure—has shifted focus from an immediate exit to a more extended tenure. Market-implied odds reflect the absence of resignation signals or health-related developments in the past week, while the Senate confirmation process for successor Kevin Warsh and any escalation in political scrutiny represent the key near-term variables that could alter the probability path.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$323,627 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
May 30
2%
December 31
46%
$323,627 KL.
May 30
$200,831 KL.
2%
December 31
$122,796 KL.
46%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Jerome Powell’s decision to remain on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors after stepping down as chair on May 15 has anchored trader expectations for the “Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?” market, with December 31, 2026, priced at 44 cents. His separate 14-year governor term runs through January 2028, and the April 29 announcement—explicitly tied to defending institutional independence amid ongoing administration pressure—has shifted focus from an immediate exit to a more extended tenure. Market-implied odds reflect the absence of resignation signals or health-related developments in the past week, while the Senate confirmation process for successor Kevin Warsh and any escalation in political scrutiny represent the key near-term variables that could alter the probability path.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Thị trường mở: Jan 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ET
Khối lượng
$323,627Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Jerome Powell’s decision to remain on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors after stepping down as chair on May 15 has anchored trader expectations for the “Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?” market, with December 31, 2026, priced at 44 cents. His separate 14-year governor term runs through January 2028, and the April 29 announcement—explicitly tied to defending institutional independence amid ongoing administration pressure—has shifted focus from an immediate exit to a more extended tenure. Market-implied odds reflect the absence of resignation signals or health-related developments in the past week, while the Senate confirmation process for successor Kevin Warsh and any escalation in political scrutiny represent the key near-term variables that could alter the probability path.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Khối lượng
$323,627Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Jerome Powell’s decision to remain on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors after stepping down as chair on May 15 has anchored trader expectations for the “Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?” market, with December 31, 2026, priced at 44 cents. His separate 14-year governor term runs through January 2028, and the April 29 announcement—explicitly tied to defending institutional independence amid ongoing administration pressure—has shifted focus from an immediate exit to a more extended tenure. Market-implied odds reflect the absence of resignation signals or health-related developments in the past week, while the Senate confirmation process for successor Kevin Warsh and any escalation in political scrutiny represent the key near-term variables that could alter the probability path.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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