Forecast consensus from meteorological agencies points to an overnight minimum near 15°C in Helsinki on August 29, driven by moderate southeast winds, high humidity, and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. Multiple model runs align on daytime highs of 18–20°C transitioning to lows of 14–16°C, consistent with late-August climatology for the region where Baltic Sea influence moderates extremes. This strong alignment underpins the market's 97% implied probability for exactly 15°C. Unusually clear conditions or a sharper wind shift could allow slightly more cooling toward 13–14°C, though current observations and guidance make that outcome unlikely before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Helsinki on August 29?
14°C 3%
13°C <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$1,329 KL.
$1,329 KL.
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
3%
15°C
67%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
14°C 3%
13°C <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$1,329 KL.
$1,329 KL.
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
3%
15°C
67%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from meteorological agencies points to an overnight minimum near 15°C in Helsinki on August 29, driven by moderate southeast winds, high humidity, and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. Multiple model runs align on daytime highs of 18–20°C transitioning to lows of 14–16°C, consistent with late-August climatology for the region where Baltic Sea influence moderates extremes. This strong alignment underpins the market's 97% implied probability for exactly 15°C. Unusually clear conditions or a sharper wind shift could allow slightly more cooling toward 13–14°C, though current observations and guidance make that outcome unlikely before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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