Ongoing monsoon conditions across Uttar Pradesh, including persistent cloud cover and scattered thundershowers, represent the main driver keeping Lucknow's minimum temperature on September 4 near 26°C, as indicated by IMD forecasts. High humidity, easterly winds, and frequent convective rainfall moderate radiative cooling overnight, preventing sharper drops while limiting daytime heating. Multiple models show consensus around 25–27°C lows with only modest day-to-day variability expected before resolution. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 26–27°C outcomes, reflecting this stable pattern, though localized heavy rain or clearer spells could shift the recorded minimum by 1–2°C. Updated IMD guidance and final observations on September 5 will determine the exact value.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Lucknow on September 4?
Lowest temperature in Lucknow on September 4?
31°C or higher 77%
21°C or below 69%
23°C 66%
24°C 66%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 4, 2026
21°C or below
69%
22°C
9%
23°C
66%
24°C
66%
25°C
36%
26°C
39%
27°C
59%
28°C
66%
29°C
3%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
77%
31°C or higher 77%
21°C or below 69%
23°C 66%
24°C 66%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 4, 2026
21°C or below
$0 KL.
69%
22°C
$0 KL.
9%
23°C
$0 KL.
66%
24°C
$0 KL.
66%
25°C
$0 KL.
36%
26°C
$0 KL.
39%
27°C
$12 KL.
59%
28°C
$0 KL.
66%
29°C
$0 KL.
3%
30°C
$0 KL.
2%
31°C or higher
$0 KL.
77%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing monsoon conditions across Uttar Pradesh, including persistent cloud cover and scattered thundershowers, represent the main driver keeping Lucknow's minimum temperature on September 4 near 26°C, as indicated by IMD forecasts. High humidity, easterly winds, and frequent convective rainfall moderate radiative cooling overnight, preventing sharper drops while limiting daytime heating. Multiple models show consensus around 25–27°C lows with only modest day-to-day variability expected before resolution. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 26–27°C outcomes, reflecting this stable pattern, though localized heavy rain or clearer spells could shift the recorded minimum by 1–2°C. Updated IMD guidance and final observations on September 5 will determine the exact value.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Khối lượng
$12Ngày kết thúc
Sep 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing monsoon conditions across Uttar Pradesh, including persistent cloud cover and scattered thundershowers, represent the main driver keeping Lucknow's minimum temperature on September 4 near 26°C, as indicated by IMD forecasts. High humidity, easterly winds, and frequent convective rainfall moderate radiative cooling overnight, preventing sharper drops while limiting daytime heating. Multiple models show consensus around 25–27°C lows with only modest day-to-day variability expected before resolution. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 26–27°C outcomes, reflecting this stable pattern, though localized heavy rain or clearer spells could shift the recorded minimum by 1–2°C. Updated IMD guidance and final observations on September 5 will determine the exact value.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$12Ngày kết thúc
Sep 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Ongoing monsoon conditions across Uttar Pradesh, including persistent cloud cover and scattered thundershowers, represent the main driver keeping Lucknow's minimum temperature on September 4 near 26°C, as indicated by IMD forecasts. High humidity, easterly winds, and frequent convective rainfall moderate radiative cooling overnight, preventing sharper drops while limiting daytime heating. Multiple models show consensus around 25–27°C lows with only modest day-to-day variability expected before resolution. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 26–27°C outcomes, reflecting this stable pattern, though localized heavy rain or clearer spells could shift the recorded minimum by 1–2°C. Updated IMD guidance and final observations on September 5 will determine the exact value.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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