Trader consensus has converged on 19°C as Shanghai’s lowest temperature on May 16, reflecting official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and ensemble guidance showing stable high-pressure conditions with light winds and minimal cold-air advection. These factors produced typical radiative cooling under clear skies, anchoring the overnight minimum near the mid-May climatological average of 18–20°C. Verified surface observations from local monitoring networks align closely with this outcome, leaving narrow model spread. Resolution hinges on precise station data thresholds, so an unforecasted enhancement in nocturnal cooling remains the primary scenario that could realistically produce an 18°C reading or lower.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Shanghai on May 16?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on May 16?
19°C 99.8%
20°C <1%
14°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
$45,807 KL.
$45,807 KL.
May 16, 2026
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
Yes
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C or higher
No
19°C 99.8%
20°C <1%
14°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
$45,807 KL.
$45,807 KL.
May 16, 2026
14°C or below
$3,097 KL.
No
15°C
$3,282 KL.
No
16°C
$1,514 KL.
No
17°C
$3,479 KL.
No
18°C
$1,439 KL.
No
19°C
$3,072 KL.
Yes
20°C
$15,987 KL.
No
21°C
$1,047 KL.
No
22°C
$732 KL.
No
23°C
$1,658 KL.
No
24°C or higher
$10,502 KL.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus has converged on 19°C as Shanghai’s lowest temperature on May 16, reflecting official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and ensemble guidance showing stable high-pressure conditions with light winds and minimal cold-air advection. These factors produced typical radiative cooling under clear skies, anchoring the overnight minimum near the mid-May climatological average of 18–20°C. Verified surface observations from local monitoring networks align closely with this outcome, leaving narrow model spread. Resolution hinges on precise station data thresholds, so an unforecasted enhancement in nocturnal cooling remains the primary scenario that could realistically produce an 18°C reading or lower.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$45,807Ngày kết thúc
May 16, 2026Thị trường mở
May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus has converged on 19°C as Shanghai’s lowest temperature on May 16, reflecting official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and ensemble guidance showing stable high-pressure conditions with light winds and minimal cold-air advection. These factors produced typical radiative cooling under clear skies, anchoring the overnight minimum near the mid-May climatological average of 18–20°C. Verified surface observations from local monitoring networks align closely with this outcome, leaving narrow model spread. Resolution hinges on precise station data thresholds, so an unforecasted enhancement in nocturnal cooling remains the primary scenario that could realistically produce an 18°C reading or lower.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$45,807Ngày kết thúc
May 16, 2026Thị trường mở
May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDTrader consensus has converged on 19°C as Shanghai’s lowest temperature on May 16, reflecting official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and ensemble guidance showing stable high-pressure conditions with light winds and minimal cold-air advection. These factors produced typical radiative cooling under clear skies, anchoring the overnight minimum near the mid-May climatological average of 18–20°C. Verified surface observations from local monitoring networks align closely with this outcome, leaving narrow model spread. Resolution hinges on precise station data thresholds, so an unforecasted enhancement in nocturnal cooling remains the primary scenario that could realistically produce an 18°C reading or lower.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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