Japan Meteorological Agency observations and forecast models show Tokyo's lowest temperature at Haneda Airport station reaching 14°C early on May 15, 2026, under clear skies and light winds that enabled radiational cooling after a mild daytime high near 25°C. This aligns with AccuWeather's projected overnight low of 57°F (14°C) and ensemble consensus, reflecting stable high-pressure dominance over the Kanto region following recent cool northerly flows. Trader sentiment at 98.9% implied probability for 14°C captures this strong data alignment, with historical May minima averaging 13–16°C providing context. Realistic challenges include unexpected cloud cover trapping heat or urban effects nudging it to 15°C, though final JMA data release later today will confirm resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Tokyo on May 15?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on May 15?
14°C 99.0%
13°C 1.3%
12°C or below <1%
$17,432 KL.
$17,432 KL.
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
99%
14°C 99.0%
13°C 1.3%
12°C or below <1%
$17,432 KL.
$17,432 KL.
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
99%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 11, 2026, 7:07 PM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Japan Meteorological Agency observations and forecast models show Tokyo's lowest temperature at Haneda Airport station reaching 14°C early on May 15, 2026, under clear skies and light winds that enabled radiational cooling after a mild daytime high near 25°C. This aligns with AccuWeather's projected overnight low of 57°F (14°C) and ensemble consensus, reflecting stable high-pressure dominance over the Kanto region following recent cool northerly flows. Trader sentiment at 98.9% implied probability for 14°C captures this strong data alignment, with historical May minima averaging 13–16°C providing context. Realistic challenges include unexpected cloud cover trapping heat or urban effects nudging it to 15°C, though final JMA data release later today will confirm resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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