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icon for New Zealand legislative election winner?

New Zealand legislative election winner?

icon for New Zealand legislative election winner?

New Zealand legislative election winner?

Labour Party 67%

National Party 35%

New Zealand First Party <1%

Green Party <1%

Polymarket

$28,076 KL.

Labour Party 67%

National Party 35%

New Zealand First Party <1%

Green Party <1%

Polymarket

$28,076 KL.

icon for National Party

National Party

$12,117 KL.

35%

icon for Labour Party

Labour Party

$8,690 KL.

67%

icon for Green Party

Green Party

$1,836 KL.

<1%

icon for ACT New Zealand

ACT New Zealand

$1,844 KL.

<1%

icon for New Zealand First Party

New Zealand First Party

$1,641 KL.

<1%

icon for Te Pāti Māori

Te Pāti Māori

$1,947 KL.

<1%

A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party list votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).Recent opinion polls for New Zealand’s November 2026 general election show Labour ahead of National in party vote in multiple surveys, with the left bloc competitive or slightly ahead of the incumbent National-ACT-NZ First coalition in seat projections. This polling trend, including Labour gains amid National slipping below 30 percent support in the latest Freshwater Strategy survey, has positioned Labour as the market favorite to secure the most seats or form government. Policy announcements such as public transport fee caps and maternity scan funding have reinforced Labour’s momentum, while economic concerns and coalition partner performance keep National within striking distance. The race remains tight, with minor parties like NZ First and the Greens influencing bloc outcomes.

A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.

If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party list votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
Khối lượng
$28,076
Ngày kết thúc
Nov 7, 2026
Thị trường mở
Apr 29, 2026, 7:35 PM ET
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party list votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party list votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).Recent opinion polls for New Zealand’s November 2026 general election show Labour ahead of National in party vote in multiple surveys, with the left bloc competitive or slightly ahead of the incumbent National-ACT-NZ First coalition in seat projections. This polling trend, including Labour gains amid National slipping below 30 percent support in the latest Freshwater Strategy survey, has positioned Labour as the market favorite to secure the most seats or form government. Policy announcements such as public transport fee caps and maternity scan funding have reinforced Labour’s momentum, while economic concerns and coalition partner performance keep National within striking distance. The race remains tight, with minor parties like NZ First and the Greens influencing bloc outcomes.

A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.

If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party list votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
Khối lượng
$28,076
Ngày kết thúc
Nov 7, 2026
Thị trường mở
Apr 29, 2026, 7:35 PM ET
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party list votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).

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Câu hỏi thường gặp

"New Zealand legislative election winner?" là thị trường dự đoán trên Polymarket với 6 kết quả có thể nơi các nhà giao dịch mua và bán cổ phần dựa trên điều họ tin sẽ xảy ra. Kết quả dẫn đầu hiện tại là "Labour Party" ở mức 67%, tiếp theo là "National Party" ở mức 35%. Giá phản ánh xác suất cộng đồng theo thời gian thực. Ví dụ, cổ phần ở giá 67¢ ngụ ý thị trường tập thể cho rằng có 67% khả năng cho kết quả đó. Tỷ lệ này thay đổi liên tục khi trader phản ứng với diễn biến và thông tin mới. Cổ phần đúng kết quả có thể đổi lấy $1 mỗi cổ phần khi thị trường được giải quyết.

Tính đến hôm nay, "New Zealand legislative election winner?" đã tạo $28.1K tổng khối lượng giao dịch kể từ khi thị trường mở vào Apr 29, 2026. Mức hoạt động giao dịch này phản ánh sự tham gia mạnh mẽ từ cộng đồng Polymarket và giúp đảm bảo tỷ lệ hiện tại được thông tin bởi nhóm người tham gia thị trường sâu rộng. Bạn có thể theo dõi biến động giá trực tiếp và giao dịch trên bất kỳ kết quả nào ngay trên trang này.

Để giao dịch trên "New Zealand legislative election winner?," duyệt 6 kết quả có sẵn trên trang này. Mỗi kết quả hiển thị giá hiện tại đại diện cho xác suất ngụ ý của thị trường. Để mở vị thế, chọn kết quả bạn tin là có khả năng nhất, chọn "Có" để giao dịch ủng hộ hoặc "Không" để giao dịch chống, nhập số tiền và nhấn "Giao dịch." Nếu kết quả bạn chọn đúng khi thị trường giải quyết, cổ phần "Có" của bạn trả $1 mỗi cổ phần. Nếu sai, chúng trả $0. Bạn cũng có thể bán cổ phần bất cứ lúc nào trước khi giải quyết nếu muốn chốt lời hoặc cắt lỗ.

Ứng viên dẫn đầu hiện tại cho "New Zealand legislative election winner?" là "Labour Party" ở mức 67%, nghĩa là thị trường cho 67% khả năng cho kết quả đó. Kết quả gần nhất tiếp theo là "National Party" ở mức 35%. Tỷ lệ cập nhật theo thời gian thực khi trader mua và bán cổ phần, phản ánh cái nhìn tập thể mới nhất về điều có khả năng xảy ra nhất. Kiểm tra thường xuyên hoặc đánh dấu trang này để theo dõi tỷ lệ thay đổi khi thông tin mới xuất hiện.

Quy tắc giải quyết cho "New Zealand legislative election winner?" định nghĩa chính xác điều gì cần xảy ra để mỗi kết quả được tuyên bố thắng — bao gồm nguồn dữ liệu chính thức được sử dụng để xác định kết quả. Bạn có thể xem tiêu chí giải quyết đầy đủ trong phần "Quy tắc" trên trang này phía trên bình luận. Chúng tôi khuyên đọc kỹ quy tắc trước khi giao dịch, vì chúng chỉ rõ điều kiện, trường hợp ngoại lệ và nguồn chính xác quản lý cách thị trường được thanh toán.