Former Senator Sherrod Brown holds a 59.5% implied probability in the 2026 Ohio Senate special election market over appointed incumbent Jon Husted at 40.5%, driven by Brown's commanding May 5 Democratic primary win with 92% support and strong early turnout that signaled renewed enthusiasm among core voters. Recent April polls from Bowling Green State University and Echelon Insights show a statistical tie with Husted holding a slim RealClearPolling average edge of roughly two points, yet traders price in Brown's advantages in name recognition, independent appeal, and substantial first-quarter fundraising as key differentiators in this toss-up contest. Analysts rate the race as competitive, with upcoming debates and summer polling likely to test whether Brown's past Senate record or Husted's current incumbency will ultimately sway Ohio voters in November.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtOhio Senate Election Winner
Ohio Senate Election Winner
$78,175 KL.
$78,175 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
60%
Republican
41%
$78,175 KL.
$78,175 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
$45,642 KL.
60%
Republican
$32,533 KL.
41%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio U.S. Senate special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Former Senator Sherrod Brown holds a 59.5% implied probability in the 2026 Ohio Senate special election market over appointed incumbent Jon Husted at 40.5%, driven by Brown's commanding May 5 Democratic primary win with 92% support and strong early turnout that signaled renewed enthusiasm among core voters. Recent April polls from Bowling Green State University and Echelon Insights show a statistical tie with Husted holding a slim RealClearPolling average edge of roughly two points, yet traders price in Brown's advantages in name recognition, independent appeal, and substantial first-quarter fundraising as key differentiators in this toss-up contest. Analysts rate the race as competitive, with upcoming debates and summer polling likely to test whether Brown's past Senate record or Husted's current incumbency will ultimately sway Ohio voters in November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio U.S. Senate special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Thị trường mở: Oct 13, 2025, 4:38 PM ET
Khối lượng
$78,175Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 4:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio U.S. Senate special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Former Senator Sherrod Brown holds a 59.5% implied probability in the 2026 Ohio Senate special election market over appointed incumbent Jon Husted at 40.5%, driven by Brown's commanding May 5 Democratic primary win with 92% support and strong early turnout that signaled renewed enthusiasm among core voters. Recent April polls from Bowling Green State University and Echelon Insights show a statistical tie with Husted holding a slim RealClearPolling average edge of roughly two points, yet traders price in Brown's advantages in name recognition, independent appeal, and substantial first-quarter fundraising as key differentiators in this toss-up contest. Analysts rate the race as competitive, with upcoming debates and summer polling likely to test whether Brown's past Senate record or Husted's current incumbency will ultimately sway Ohio voters in November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio U.S. Senate special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Khối lượng
$78,175Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 4:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Former Senator Sherrod Brown holds a 59.5% implied probability in the 2026 Ohio Senate special election market over appointed incumbent Jon Husted at 40.5%, driven by Brown's commanding May 5 Democratic primary win with 92% support and strong early turnout that signaled renewed enthusiasm among core voters. Recent April polls from Bowling Green State University and Echelon Insights show a statistical tie with Husted holding a slim RealClearPolling average edge of roughly two points, yet traders price in Brown's advantages in name recognition, independent appeal, and substantial first-quarter fundraising as key differentiators in this toss-up contest. Analysts rate the race as competitive, with upcoming debates and summer polling likely to test whether Brown's past Senate record or Husted's current incumbency will ultimately sway Ohio voters in November.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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