Recent polling shows the Parti Québécois maintaining a consistent lead in voting intentions ahead of the October 5, 2026, provincial election, with support concentrated among francophone voters and translating into strong seat projections under Quebec's first-past-the-post system. The Coalition Avenir Québec has declined sharply following leadership transition and governance fatigue, while the Quebec Liberal Party has stabilized in second place but trails in most models. These trends, reflected in recent surveys from Léger and Pallas Data through early August, underpin trader consensus favoring a PQ plurality or majority. The campaign launch expected by late August and any shifts in undecided voters could still influence final seat outcomes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNgười chiến thắng trong cuộc Tổng tuyển cử Quebec
Người chiến thắng trong cuộc Tổng tuyển cử Quebec
PQ 74%
PLQ 15%
CAQ 13%
PCQ <1%
$757,255 KL.
$757,255 KL.
Oct 5, 2026
PQ
74%
PLQ
15%
CAQ
13%
PCQ
<1%
QS
<1%
PVQ
<1%
PQ 74%
PLQ 15%
CAQ 13%
PCQ <1%
$757,255 KL.
$757,255 KL.
Oct 5, 2026
PQ
$81,430 KL.
74%
PLQ
$101,564 KL.
15%
CAQ
$107,974 KL.
13%
PCQ
$207,346 KL.
<1%
QS
$101,443 KL.
<1%
PVQ
$157,498 KL.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling shows the Parti Québécois maintaining a consistent lead in voting intentions ahead of the October 5, 2026, provincial election, with support concentrated among francophone voters and translating into strong seat projections under Quebec's first-past-the-post system. The Coalition Avenir Québec has declined sharply following leadership transition and governance fatigue, while the Quebec Liberal Party has stabilized in second place but trails in most models. These trends, reflected in recent surveys from Léger and Pallas Data through early August, underpin trader consensus favoring a PQ plurality or majority. The campaign launch expected by late August and any shifts in undecided voters could still influence final seat outcomes.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Thị trường mở: Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ET
Khối lượng
$757,255Ngày kết thúc
Oct 5, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling shows the Parti Québécois maintaining a consistent lead in voting intentions ahead of the October 5, 2026, provincial election, with support concentrated among francophone voters and translating into strong seat projections under Quebec's first-past-the-post system. The Coalition Avenir Québec has declined sharply following leadership transition and governance fatigue, while the Quebec Liberal Party has stabilized in second place but trails in most models. These trends, reflected in recent surveys from Léger and Pallas Data through early August, underpin trader consensus favoring a PQ plurality or majority. The campaign launch expected by late August and any shifts in undecided voters could still influence final seat outcomes.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Khối lượng
$757,255Ngày kết thúc
Oct 5, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling shows the Parti Québécois maintaining a consistent lead in voting intentions ahead of the October 5, 2026, provincial election, with support concentrated among francophone voters and translating into strong seat projections under Quebec's first-past-the-post system. The Coalition Avenir Québec has declined sharply following leadership transition and governance fatigue, while the Quebec Liberal Party has stabilized in second place but trails in most models. These trends, reflected in recent surveys from Léger and Pallas Data through early August, underpin trader consensus favoring a PQ plurality or majority. The campaign launch expected by late August and any shifts in undecided voters could still influence final seat outcomes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLiên quan
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