Recent polls through mid-August show the Texas U.S. Senate race remaining exceptionally tight, with James Talarico holding narrow leads or statistical ties against Ken Paxton in multiple surveys of likely voters. The contest features a sharp age divide, as voters under 50 favor Talarico while those over 50 back Paxton, alongside Talarico's stronger performance among independents and moderates. Paxton's nomination followed a primary runoff victory over incumbent John Cornyn, aided by a late endorsement from President Trump. Fundraising totals heavily favor Talarico, though Paxton maintains stronger name recognition in a state with a long Republican Senate streak. Key factors that could shift the balance include turnout among younger and independent voters, the trajectory of economic and immigration concerns, and any late-cycle developments affecting candidate favorability before the November 3 election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtTexas Senate Election Winner
Texas Senate Election Winner
$806,425 KL.
$806,425 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
James Talarico (D)
52%
Ken Paxton (R)
49%
$806,425 KL.
$806,425 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
James Talarico (D)
$382,504 KL.
52%
Ken Paxton (R)
$423,921 KL.
49%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Recent polls through mid-August show the Texas U.S. Senate race remaining exceptionally tight, with James Talarico holding narrow leads or statistical ties against Ken Paxton in multiple surveys of likely voters. The contest features a sharp age divide, as voters under 50 favor Talarico while those over 50 back Paxton, alongside Talarico's stronger performance among independents and moderates. Paxton's nomination followed a primary runoff victory over incumbent John Cornyn, aided by a late endorsement from President Trump. Fundraising totals heavily favor Talarico, though Paxton maintains stronger name recognition in a state with a long Republican Senate streak. Key factors that could shift the balance include turnout among younger and independent voters, the trajectory of economic and immigration concerns, and any late-cycle developments affecting candidate favorability before the November 3 election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Thị trường mở: Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ET
Khối lượng
$806,425Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Recent polls through mid-August show the Texas U.S. Senate race remaining exceptionally tight, with James Talarico holding narrow leads or statistical ties against Ken Paxton in multiple surveys of likely voters. The contest features a sharp age divide, as voters under 50 favor Talarico while those over 50 back Paxton, alongside Talarico's stronger performance among independents and moderates. Paxton's nomination followed a primary runoff victory over incumbent John Cornyn, aided by a late endorsement from President Trump. Fundraising totals heavily favor Talarico, though Paxton maintains stronger name recognition in a state with a long Republican Senate streak. Key factors that could shift the balance include turnout among younger and independent voters, the trajectory of economic and immigration concerns, and any late-cycle developments affecting candidate favorability before the November 3 election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Khối lượng
$806,425Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polls through mid-August show the Texas U.S. Senate race remaining exceptionally tight, with James Talarico holding narrow leads or statistical ties against Ken Paxton in multiple surveys of likely voters. The contest features a sharp age divide, as voters under 50 favor Talarico while those over 50 back Paxton, alongside Talarico's stronger performance among independents and moderates. Paxton's nomination followed a primary runoff victory over incumbent John Cornyn, aided by a late endorsement from President Trump. Fundraising totals heavily favor Talarico, though Paxton maintains stronger name recognition in a state with a long Republican Senate streak. Key factors that could shift the balance include turnout among younger and independent voters, the trajectory of economic and immigration concerns, and any late-cycle developments affecting candidate favorability before the November 3 election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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