The Texas Senate race stays closely contested as Democratic nominee James Talarico posts competitive or leading numbers in recent general-election polls against both Republican primary contenders. Incumbent John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton advanced to a May 26 runoff after neither secured a majority in March, leaving party unity and nominee strength unresolved just weeks before the vote. These factors sustain trader consensus near 52.5% for a Republican win and 46.5% for a Democrat, reflecting uncertainty over turnout in a state that has grown more competitive in recent cycles and the potential for either GOP candidate to consolidate support or face renewed challenges on issues like border security and economic policy.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtTexas Senate Election Winner
Texas Senate Election Winner
$204,706 KL.
$204,706 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
53%
Democrat
47%
$204,706 KL.
$204,706 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
$113,076 KL.
53%
Democrat
$91,631 KL.
47%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.The Texas Senate race stays closely contested as Democratic nominee James Talarico posts competitive or leading numbers in recent general-election polls against both Republican primary contenders. Incumbent John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton advanced to a May 26 runoff after neither secured a majority in March, leaving party unity and nominee strength unresolved just weeks before the vote. These factors sustain trader consensus near 52.5% for a Republican win and 46.5% for a Democrat, reflecting uncertainty over turnout in a state that has grown more competitive in recent cycles and the potential for either GOP candidate to consolidate support or face renewed challenges on issues like border security and economic policy.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Thị trường mở: Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ET
Khối lượng
$204,706Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.The Texas Senate race stays closely contested as Democratic nominee James Talarico posts competitive or leading numbers in recent general-election polls against both Republican primary contenders. Incumbent John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton advanced to a May 26 runoff after neither secured a majority in March, leaving party unity and nominee strength unresolved just weeks before the vote. These factors sustain trader consensus near 52.5% for a Republican win and 46.5% for a Democrat, reflecting uncertainty over turnout in a state that has grown more competitive in recent cycles and the potential for either GOP candidate to consolidate support or face renewed challenges on issues like border security and economic policy.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Khối lượng
$204,706Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Texas Senate race stays closely contested as Democratic nominee James Talarico posts competitive or leading numbers in recent general-election polls against both Republican primary contenders. Incumbent John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton advanced to a May 26 runoff after neither secured a majority in March, leaving party unity and nominee strength unresolved just weeks before the vote. These factors sustain trader consensus near 52.5% for a Republican win and 46.5% for a Democrat, reflecting uncertainty over turnout in a state that has grown more competitive in recent cycles and the potential for either GOP candidate to consolidate support or face renewed challenges on issues like border security and economic policy.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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