The elevated trader consensus favoring no new country joining the Abraham Accords by June 30 stems primarily from stalled formal normalization talks since Kazakhstan's early 2026 accession. Saudi Arabia continues to tie any agreement to concrete progress on Palestinian statehood and a Gaza ceasefire, conditions that remain unmet amid persistent regional tensions. Other candidates such as Oman, Somaliland, and Indonesia face procedural hurdles, including required bilateral pacts and domestic political approvals, with no scheduled signing ceremonies or announcements emerging in recent weeks. U.S. diplomatic initiatives under the current administration have sustained momentum in principle, yet the short remaining window and absence of verified breakthroughs reinforce the market's assessment of limited near-term expansion.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$24,753 KL.
$24,753 KL.
Jun 30, 2026
$24,753 KL.
$24,753 KL.
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.The elevated trader consensus favoring no new country joining the Abraham Accords by June 30 stems primarily from stalled formal normalization talks since Kazakhstan's early 2026 accession. Saudi Arabia continues to tie any agreement to concrete progress on Palestinian statehood and a Gaza ceasefire, conditions that remain unmet amid persistent regional tensions. Other candidates such as Oman, Somaliland, and Indonesia face procedural hurdles, including required bilateral pacts and domestic political approvals, with no scheduled signing ceremonies or announcements emerging in recent weeks. U.S. diplomatic initiatives under the current administration have sustained momentum in principle, yet the short remaining window and absence of verified breakthroughs reinforce the market's assessment of limited near-term expansion.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Apr 1, 2026, 2:04 PM ET
Khối lượng
$24,753Ngày kết thúc
Jun 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 1, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.The elevated trader consensus favoring no new country joining the Abraham Accords by June 30 stems primarily from stalled formal normalization talks since Kazakhstan's early 2026 accession. Saudi Arabia continues to tie any agreement to concrete progress on Palestinian statehood and a Gaza ceasefire, conditions that remain unmet amid persistent regional tensions. Other candidates such as Oman, Somaliland, and Indonesia face procedural hurdles, including required bilateral pacts and domestic political approvals, with no scheduled signing ceremonies or announcements emerging in recent weeks. U.S. diplomatic initiatives under the current administration have sustained momentum in principle, yet the short remaining window and absence of verified breakthroughs reinforce the market's assessment of limited near-term expansion.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$24,753Ngày kết thúc
Jun 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 1, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The elevated trader consensus favoring no new country joining the Abraham Accords by June 30 stems primarily from stalled formal normalization talks since Kazakhstan's early 2026 accession. Saudi Arabia continues to tie any agreement to concrete progress on Palestinian statehood and a Gaza ceasefire, conditions that remain unmet amid persistent regional tensions. Other candidates such as Oman, Somaliland, and Indonesia face procedural hurdles, including required bilateral pacts and domestic political approvals, with no scheduled signing ceremonies or announcements emerging in recent weeks. U.S. diplomatic initiatives under the current administration have sustained momentum in principle, yet the short remaining window and absence of verified breakthroughs reinforce the market's assessment of limited near-term expansion.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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