Recent forecasts for the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season from Colorado State University and Tropical Storm Risk project near- or below-average activity, with only two major hurricanes expected amid neutral to weak La Niña conditions. Category 5 status on the Saffir-Simpson scale requires sustained winds of at least 157 mph, a threshold reached by just five U.S. landfalls since 1900, the most recent being Hurricane Michael in 2018. The 2025 season produced three Category 5 storms yet none reached the U.S. coastline, underscoring the role of steering patterns in preventing landfall. NOAA’s official 2026 outlook, scheduled for release on May 21, will provide updated model guidance on intensification potential and landfall windows before the June 1 start. These factors align with trader consensus that conditions favor no Category 5 U.S. landfall before 2027.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtWill any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
$135,286 KL.
$135,286 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
$135,286 KL.
$135,286 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
For the purposes of this market, a Category 5 hurricane is a hurricane with maximum sustained winds of 157 mph or higher, as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php, and a hurricane landfall is said to occur when the hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline, as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any storm makes landfall in the conterminous United States as a Category 5 hurricane, as reported in official National Hurricane Center advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2023/IDALIA.shtml?) between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve based on the initial advisory released by the NHC for whether any storm has made landfall in the conterminous United States at Category 5 strength, regardless of any later retraction or analysis that may contradict the initial qualifying announcement. However, subsequent corrections or updates will be considered if they indicate a qualifying incident.Recent forecasts for the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season from Colorado State University and Tropical Storm Risk project near- or below-average activity, with only two major hurricanes expected amid neutral to weak La Niña conditions. Category 5 status on the Saffir-Simpson scale requires sustained winds of at least 157 mph, a threshold reached by just five U.S. landfalls since 1900, the most recent being Hurricane Michael in 2018. The 2025 season produced three Category 5 storms yet none reached the U.S. coastline, underscoring the role of steering patterns in preventing landfall. NOAA’s official 2026 outlook, scheduled for release on May 21, will provide updated model guidance on intensification potential and landfall windows before the June 1 start. These factors align with trader consensus that conditions favor no Category 5 U.S. landfall before 2027.
For the purposes of this market, a Category 5 hurricane is a hurricane with maximum sustained winds of 157 mph or higher, as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php, and a hurricane landfall is said to occur when the hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline, as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any storm makes landfall in the conterminous United States as a Category 5 hurricane, as reported in official National Hurricane Center advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2023/IDALIA.shtml?) between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve based on the initial advisory released by the NHC for whether any storm has made landfall in the conterminous United States at Category 5 strength, regardless of any later retraction or analysis that may contradict the initial qualifying announcement. However, subsequent corrections or updates will be considered if they indicate a qualifying incident.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any storm makes landfall in the conterminous United States as a Category 5 hurricane, as reported in official National Hurricane Center advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2023/IDALIA.shtml?) between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve based on the initial advisory released by the NHC for whether any storm has made landfall in the conterminous United States at Category 5 strength, regardless of any later retraction or analysis that may contradict the initial qualifying announcement. However, subsequent corrections or updates will be considered if they indicate a qualifying incident.
Thị trường mở: Dec 31, 2025, 12:09 PM ET
Khối lượng
$135,286Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 31, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...For the purposes of this market, a Category 5 hurricane is a hurricane with maximum sustained winds of 157 mph or higher, as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php, and a hurricane landfall is said to occur when the hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline, as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any storm makes landfall in the conterminous United States as a Category 5 hurricane, as reported in official National Hurricane Center advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2023/IDALIA.shtml?) between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve based on the initial advisory released by the NHC for whether any storm has made landfall in the conterminous United States at Category 5 strength, regardless of any later retraction or analysis that may contradict the initial qualifying announcement. However, subsequent corrections or updates will be considered if they indicate a qualifying incident.Recent forecasts for the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season from Colorado State University and Tropical Storm Risk project near- or below-average activity, with only two major hurricanes expected amid neutral to weak La Niña conditions. Category 5 status on the Saffir-Simpson scale requires sustained winds of at least 157 mph, a threshold reached by just five U.S. landfalls since 1900, the most recent being Hurricane Michael in 2018. The 2025 season produced three Category 5 storms yet none reached the U.S. coastline, underscoring the role of steering patterns in preventing landfall. NOAA’s official 2026 outlook, scheduled for release on May 21, will provide updated model guidance on intensification potential and landfall windows before the June 1 start. These factors align with trader consensus that conditions favor no Category 5 U.S. landfall before 2027.
For the purposes of this market, a Category 5 hurricane is a hurricane with maximum sustained winds of 157 mph or higher, as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php, and a hurricane landfall is said to occur when the hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline, as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any storm makes landfall in the conterminous United States as a Category 5 hurricane, as reported in official National Hurricane Center advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2023/IDALIA.shtml?) between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve based on the initial advisory released by the NHC for whether any storm has made landfall in the conterminous United States at Category 5 strength, regardless of any later retraction or analysis that may contradict the initial qualifying announcement. However, subsequent corrections or updates will be considered if they indicate a qualifying incident.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any storm makes landfall in the conterminous United States as a Category 5 hurricane, as reported in official National Hurricane Center advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2023/IDALIA.shtml?) between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve based on the initial advisory released by the NHC for whether any storm has made landfall in the conterminous United States at Category 5 strength, regardless of any later retraction or analysis that may contradict the initial qualifying announcement. However, subsequent corrections or updates will be considered if they indicate a qualifying incident.
Khối lượng
$135,286Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 31, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent forecasts for the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season from Colorado State University and Tropical Storm Risk project near- or below-average activity, with only two major hurricanes expected amid neutral to weak La Niña conditions. Category 5 status on the Saffir-Simpson scale requires sustained winds of at least 157 mph, a threshold reached by just five U.S. landfalls since 1900, the most recent being Hurricane Michael in 2018. The 2025 season produced three Category 5 storms yet none reached the U.S. coastline, underscoring the role of steering patterns in preventing landfall. NOAA’s official 2026 outlook, scheduled for release on May 21, will provide updated model guidance on intensification potential and landfall windows before the June 1 start. These factors align with trader consensus that conditions favor no Category 5 U.S. landfall before 2027.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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