Anthropic’s implied 78.5% probability for a first-day closing market cap above $1.8 trillion stems from pre-IPO futures on platforms like Hyperliquid trading near $2.15 trillion and consistent reports of a $2 trillion target valuation. The company’s annualized revenue run rate reached $65 billion by late July, fueled by enterprise adoption of its Claude large language model, API integrations, and infrastructure deals with Amazon and Google. Its confidential S-1 filing in June and planned mid-October marketing for a Nasdaq listing before the November midterms reinforce expectations of a landmark IPO. A $15 billion credit facility and partnerships expanding compute capacity further support the premium pricing, though actual public-market reception remains the key variable.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於1.8T+ 79%
1.5–1.8T 9.5%
1.2–1.5T 5.5%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 3.7%
$441,336 交易量
$441,336 交易量
2027-12-31
<0.6T
1%
0.6–0.9T
1%
0.9–1.2T
1%
1.2–1.5T
5%
1.5–1.8T
10%
1.8T+
79%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
4%
1.8T+ 79%
1.5–1.8T 9.5%
1.2–1.5T 5.5%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 3.7%
$441,336 交易量
$441,336 交易量
2027-12-31
<0.6T
$22,407 交易量
1%
0.6–0.9T
$27,023 交易量
1%
0.9–1.2T
$27,281 交易量
1%
1.2–1.5T
$34,870 交易量
5%
1.5–1.8T
$53,028 交易量
10%
1.8T+
$223,182 交易量
79%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
$53,646 交易量
4%
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Anthropic’s implied 78.5% probability for a first-day closing market cap above $1.8 trillion stems from pre-IPO futures on platforms like Hyperliquid trading near $2.15 trillion and consistent reports of a $2 trillion target valuation. The company’s annualized revenue run rate reached $65 billion by late July, fueled by enterprise adoption of its Claude large language model, API integrations, and infrastructure deals with Amazon and Google. Its confidential S-1 filing in June and planned mid-October marketing for a Nasdaq listing before the November midterms reinforce expectations of a landmark IPO. A $15 billion credit facility and partnerships expanding compute capacity further support the premium pricing, though actual public-market reception remains the key variable.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
市場開放時間： Apr 30, 2026, 3:13 PM ET
交易量
$441,336結束日期
2028-01-01市場開放時間
Apr 30, 2026, 3:13 PM ETThis market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Anthropic’s implied 78.5% probability for a first-day closing market cap above $1.8 trillion stems from pre-IPO futures on platforms like Hyperliquid trading near $2.15 trillion and consistent reports of a $2 trillion target valuation. The company’s annualized revenue run rate reached $65 billion by late July, fueled by enterprise adoption of its Claude large language model, API integrations, and infrastructure deals with Amazon and Google. Its confidential S-1 filing in June and planned mid-October marketing for a Nasdaq listing before the November midterms reinforce expectations of a landmark IPO. A $15 billion credit facility and partnerships expanding compute capacity further support the premium pricing, though actual public-market reception remains the key variable.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
交易量
$441,336結束日期
2028-01-01市場開放時間
Apr 30, 2026, 3:13 PM ETAnthropic’s implied 78.5% probability for a first-day closing market cap above $1.8 trillion stems from pre-IPO futures on platforms like Hyperliquid trading near $2.15 trillion and consistent reports of a $2 trillion target valuation. The company’s annualized revenue run rate reached $65 billion by late July, fueled by enterprise adoption of its Claude large language model, API integrations, and infrastructure deals with Amazon and Google. Its confidential S-1 filing in June and planned mid-October marketing for a Nasdaq listing before the November midterms reinforce expectations of a landmark IPO. A $15 billion credit facility and partnerships expanding compute capacity further support the premium pricing, though actual public-market reception remains the key variable.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions