Recent mid-August polling from AtlasIntel, Datafolha, and Quaest shows a fragmented field of eight candidates for Ceará’s two Senate seats, with Cid Gomes, Capitão Wagner, and Luizianne Lins clustered in the low-to-mid 20s while others remain in single digits. This narrow spread among frontrunners drives trader pricing near 50% for several names on second place, as any mid-tier contender could gain ground through targeted regional outreach or last-minute coalition shifts before the October 4 vote. Capitão Wagner’s slight edge in consensus reflects consistent survey visibility and União Brasil organization, yet the absence of decisive separation underscores how polling volatility, alliance negotiations, and turnout patterns in key areas could reorder the ranking ahead of election day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於卡皮唐·瓦格納 43%
雷吉納爾多 25%
Guilherme Theophilo 21%
Cid Gomes 19%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
卡皮唐·瓦格納
54%
雷吉納爾多
25%
Guilherme Theophilo
21%
Cid Gomes
19%
卡塔琳娜·馬托斯
19%
Luizianne
15%
Alcides Fernandes
10%
Lino Alves
7%
卡皮唐·瓦格納 43%
雷吉納爾多 25%
Guilherme Theophilo 21%
Cid Gomes 19%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
卡皮唐·瓦格納
$687 交易量
54%
雷吉納爾多
$20 交易量
25%
Guilherme Theophilo
$20 交易量
21%
Cid Gomes
$20 交易量
19%
卡塔琳娜·馬托斯
$20 交易量
19%
Luizianne
$20 交易量
15%
Alcides Fernandes
$62 交易量
10%
Lino Alves
$89 交易量
7%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent mid-August polling from AtlasIntel, Datafolha, and Quaest shows a fragmented field of eight candidates for Ceará’s two Senate seats, with Cid Gomes, Capitão Wagner, and Luizianne Lins clustered in the low-to-mid 20s while others remain in single digits. This narrow spread among frontrunners drives trader pricing near 50% for several names on second place, as any mid-tier contender could gain ground through targeted regional outreach or last-minute coalition shifts before the October 4 vote. Capitão Wagner’s slight edge in consensus reflects consistent survey visibility and União Brasil organization, yet the absence of decisive separation underscores how polling volatility, alliance negotiations, and turnout patterns in key areas could reorder the ranking ahead of election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市場開放時間： Aug 17, 2026, 5:56 AM ET
交易量
$938結束日期
2026-10-04市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 5:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent mid-August polling from AtlasIntel, Datafolha, and Quaest shows a fragmented field of eight candidates for Ceará’s two Senate seats, with Cid Gomes, Capitão Wagner, and Luizianne Lins clustered in the low-to-mid 20s while others remain in single digits. This narrow spread among frontrunners drives trader pricing near 50% for several names on second place, as any mid-tier contender could gain ground through targeted regional outreach or last-minute coalition shifts before the October 4 vote. Capitão Wagner’s slight edge in consensus reflects consistent survey visibility and União Brasil organization, yet the absence of decisive separation underscores how polling volatility, alliance negotiations, and turnout patterns in key areas could reorder the ranking ahead of election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$938結束日期
2026-10-04市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 5:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent mid-August polling from AtlasIntel, Datafolha, and Quaest shows a fragmented field of eight candidates for Ceará’s two Senate seats, with Cid Gomes, Capitão Wagner, and Luizianne Lins clustered in the low-to-mid 20s while others remain in single digits. This narrow spread among frontrunners drives trader pricing near 50% for several names on second place, as any mid-tier contender could gain ground through targeted regional outreach or last-minute coalition shifts before the October 4 vote. Capitão Wagner’s slight edge in consensus reflects consistent survey visibility and União Brasil organization, yet the absence of decisive separation underscores how polling volatility, alliance negotiations, and turnout patterns in key areas could reorder the ranking ahead of election day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions