Donald Trump's sustained high-frequency posting on Truth Social over the past week has anchored trader consensus around the 180-199 range as the dominant outcome. His established pattern of issuing multiple daily updates on policy priorities, legislative developments, and public statements has produced daily volumes typically exceeding 20 posts, consistent with activity levels observed during comparable periods of active political engagement. Key drivers include ongoing commentary on domestic issues and international relations without major disruptions from travel or platform issues. Scenarios that could still alter the tally involve sudden schedule shifts from official duties, technical outages, or rapid changes in the news cycle that reduce the volume of timely statements.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於180-199 100.0%
200+ <1%
少於20 <1%
20-39 <1%
$624,125 交易量
$624,125 交易量
2026-05-15
少於20
否
20-39
否
40-59
否
60-79
否
80-99
否
100-119
否
120-139
否
140-159
否
160-179
否
180-199
Yes
200+
No
180-199 100.0%
200+ <1%
少於20 <1%
20-39 <1%
$624,125 交易量
$624,125 交易量
2026-05-15
少於20
$23,246 交易量
否
20-39
$7,712 交易量
否
40-59
$18,238 交易量
否
60-79
$34,591 交易量
否
80-99
$34,255 交易量
否
100-119
$18,330 交易量
否
120-139
$22,336 交易量
否
140-159
$48,318 交易量
否
160-179
$259,199 交易量
否
180-199
$87,994 交易量
Yes
200+
$69,904 交易量
No
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 8, 12:00 PM ET and May 15, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Donald Trump's sustained high-frequency posting on Truth Social over the past week has anchored trader consensus around the 180-199 range as the dominant outcome. His established pattern of issuing multiple daily updates on policy priorities, legislative developments, and public statements has produced daily volumes typically exceeding 20 posts, consistent with activity levels observed during comparable periods of active political engagement. Key drivers include ongoing commentary on domestic issues and international relations without major disruptions from travel or platform issues. Scenarios that could still alter the tally involve sudden schedule shifts from official duties, technical outages, or rapid changes in the news cycle that reduce the volume of timely statements.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 8, 12:00 PM ET and May 15, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市場開放時間： May 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
交易量
$624,125結束日期
2026-05-15市場開放時間
May 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 8, 12:00 PM ET and May 15, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Donald Trump's sustained high-frequency posting on Truth Social over the past week has anchored trader consensus around the 180-199 range as the dominant outcome. His established pattern of issuing multiple daily updates on policy priorities, legislative developments, and public statements has produced daily volumes typically exceeding 20 posts, consistent with activity levels observed during comparable periods of active political engagement. Key drivers include ongoing commentary on domestic issues and international relations without major disruptions from travel or platform issues. Scenarios that could still alter the tally involve sudden schedule shifts from official duties, technical outages, or rapid changes in the news cycle that reduce the volume of timely statements.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 8, 12:00 PM ET and May 15, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$624,125結束日期
2026-05-15市場開放時間
May 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Donald Trump's sustained high-frequency posting on Truth Social over the past week has anchored trader consensus around the 180-199 range as the dominant outcome. His established pattern of issuing multiple daily updates on policy priorities, legislative developments, and public statements has produced daily volumes typically exceeding 20 posts, consistent with activity levels observed during comparable periods of active political engagement. Key drivers include ongoing commentary on domestic issues and international relations without major disruptions from travel or platform issues. Scenarios that could still alter the tally involve sudden schedule shifts from official duties, technical outages, or rapid changes in the news cycle that reduce the volume of timely statements.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions