Trump’s Truth Social activity has averaged 18–22 posts per day in recent months, including 18.6 daily from early September through October 7, 2026, producing typical weekly totals in the 140–180 range that align with the market’s leading buckets. Midterm election season, with its endorsements, policy updates, travel, and rapid responses to news, sustains elevated volume while day-to-day swings from late-night posting or quiet periods create overlap among the top outcomes. Traders weigh this baseline consistency against the potential for spikes above 200 or dips below 140 driven by unforeseen events within the resolution window.