Recent FOMC meetings in June and July 2026 both resulted in unchanged federal funds rates at the 3.50%-3.75% target range, with the July decision reflecting a divided 9-3 vote amid persistent inflationary pressures from Middle East supply disruptions and higher energy prices. These outcomes have anchored market-implied odds heavily toward Pause–Pause–Pause for the June-July-September sequence, as traders assess incoming data on core PCE, labor market conditions, and Treasury yields that suggest the Fed may maintain its current policy stance into mid-September. Forward-looking projections from the June dot plot indicated a modest hiking bias for some participants, yet recent communications and base-rate stability have tempered expectations for any near-term shift, leaving limited room for alternatives like a September cut or hike.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Pause–Pause–Pause 76%
Other 24%
Pause–Pause–Cut <1%
$744,184 交易量
$744,184 交易量
2026-09-16
Pause–Pause–Pause
76%
Pause–Pause–Cut
1%
Other
24%
Pause–Pause–Pause 76%
Other 24%
Pause–Pause–Cut <1%
$744,184 交易量
$744,184 交易量
2026-09-16
Pause–Pause–Pause
$290,888 交易量
76%
Pause–Pause–Cut
$77,145 交易量
1%
Other
$320,274 交易量
24%
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: June 16-17; July 28-29; and September 15-16.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htmRecent FOMC meetings in June and July 2026 both resulted in unchanged federal funds rates at the 3.50%-3.75% target range, with the July decision reflecting a divided 9-3 vote amid persistent inflationary pressures from Middle East supply disruptions and higher energy prices. These outcomes have anchored market-implied odds heavily toward Pause–Pause–Pause for the June-July-September sequence, as traders assess incoming data on core PCE, labor market conditions, and Treasury yields that suggest the Fed may maintain its current policy stance into mid-September. Forward-looking projections from the June dot plot indicated a modest hiking bias for some participants, yet recent communications and base-rate stability have tempered expectations for any near-term shift, leaving limited room for alternatives like a September cut or hike.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: June 16-17; July 28-29; and September 15-16.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: June 16-17; July 28-29; and September 15-16.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
市場開放時間： Apr 29, 2026, 7:50 PM ET
交易量
$744,184結束日期
2026-09-16市場開放時間
Apr 29, 2026, 7:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: June 16-17; July 28-29; and September 15-16.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htmRecent FOMC meetings in June and July 2026 both resulted in unchanged federal funds rates at the 3.50%-3.75% target range, with the July decision reflecting a divided 9-3 vote amid persistent inflationary pressures from Middle East supply disruptions and higher energy prices. These outcomes have anchored market-implied odds heavily toward Pause–Pause–Pause for the June-July-September sequence, as traders assess incoming data on core PCE, labor market conditions, and Treasury yields that suggest the Fed may maintain its current policy stance into mid-September. Forward-looking projections from the June dot plot indicated a modest hiking bias for some participants, yet recent communications and base-rate stability have tempered expectations for any near-term shift, leaving limited room for alternatives like a September cut or hike.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: June 16-17; July 28-29; and September 15-16.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: June 16-17; July 28-29; and September 15-16.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
交易量
$744,184結束日期
2026-09-16市場開放時間
Apr 29, 2026, 7:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent FOMC meetings in June and July 2026 both resulted in unchanged federal funds rates at the 3.50%-3.75% target range, with the July decision reflecting a divided 9-3 vote amid persistent inflationary pressures from Middle East supply disruptions and higher energy prices. These outcomes have anchored market-implied odds heavily toward Pause–Pause–Pause for the June-July-September sequence, as traders assess incoming data on core PCE, labor market conditions, and Treasury yields that suggest the Fed may maintain its current policy stance into mid-September. Forward-looking projections from the June dot plot indicated a modest hiking bias for some participants, yet recent communications and base-rate stability have tempered expectations for any near-term shift, leaving limited room for alternatives like a September cut or hike.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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