LaShonda "L.J." Holloway leads the Florida 4th Congressional District Democratic primary with strong trader consensus, driven by a recent Tyson Group poll showing her at 41% support among likely voters compared to 11% for Michael Kirwan and 4% for Brit Robinson. As the party's nominee in both 2022 and 2024, Holloway benefits from established name recognition and commanding edges among Black voters and women. Kirwan trails despite higher fundraising totals, while Robinson remains a distant third. The August 18 primary date concentrates attention on these polling trends and voter turnout patterns in the Northeast Florida district, where Holloway's prior runs provide a structural advantage in the current cycle.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於LaShonda「L.J.」Holloway 78%
Michael Kirwan 21%
Brit Robinson 1.9%
最新
最新
2026-08-18
LaShonda「L.J.」Holloway
78%
Michael Kirwan
21%
Brit Robinson
2%
LaShonda「L.J.」Holloway 78%
Michael Kirwan 21%
Brit Robinson 1.9%
最新
最新
2026-08-18
LaShonda「L.J.」Holloway
$5,537 交易量
78%
Michael Kirwan
$1,878 交易量
21%
Brit Robinson
$592 交易量
2%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.LaShonda "L.J." Holloway leads the Florida 4th Congressional District Democratic primary with strong trader consensus, driven by a recent Tyson Group poll showing her at 41% support among likely voters compared to 11% for Michael Kirwan and 4% for Brit Robinson. As the party's nominee in both 2022 and 2024, Holloway benefits from established name recognition and commanding edges among Black voters and women. Kirwan trails despite higher fundraising totals, while Robinson remains a distant third. The August 18 primary date concentrates attention on these polling trends and voter turnout patterns in the Northeast Florida district, where Holloway's prior runs provide a structural advantage in the current cycle.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
市場開放時間： Jul 26, 2026, 4:54 PM ET
交易量
$8,007結束日期
2026-08-18市場開放時間
Jul 26, 2026, 4:54 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.LaShonda "L.J." Holloway leads the Florida 4th Congressional District Democratic primary with strong trader consensus, driven by a recent Tyson Group poll showing her at 41% support among likely voters compared to 11% for Michael Kirwan and 4% for Brit Robinson. As the party's nominee in both 2022 and 2024, Holloway benefits from established name recognition and commanding edges among Black voters and women. Kirwan trails despite higher fundraising totals, while Robinson remains a distant third. The August 18 primary date concentrates attention on these polling trends and voter turnout patterns in the Northeast Florida district, where Holloway's prior runs provide a structural advantage in the current cycle.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$8,007結束日期
2026-08-18市場開放時間
Jul 26, 2026, 4:54 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...LaShonda "L.J." Holloway leads the Florida 4th Congressional District Democratic primary with strong trader consensus, driven by a recent Tyson Group poll showing her at 41% support among likely voters compared to 11% for Michael Kirwan and 4% for Brit Robinson. As the party's nominee in both 2022 and 2024, Holloway benefits from established name recognition and commanding edges among Black voters and women. Kirwan trails despite higher fundraising totals, while Robinson remains a distant third. The August 18 primary date concentrates attention on these polling trends and voter turnout patterns in the Northeast Florida district, where Holloway's prior runs provide a structural advantage in the current cycle.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions