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icon for FL-07共和黨初選獲勝者

FL-07共和黨初選獲勝者

icon for FL-07共和黨初選獲勝者

FL-07共和黨初選獲勝者

Ryan Elijah 87%

Cory Mills 14%

麥克·約翰遜 <1%

莎拉·烏爾里希 <1%

Polymarket

$49,288 交易量

Ryan Elijah 87%

Cory Mills 14%

麥克·約翰遜 <1%

莎拉·烏爾里希 <1%

Polymarket

$49,288 交易量

icon for Ryan Elijah

Ryan Elijah

$18,494 交易量

87%

icon for Cory Mills

Cory Mills

$27,486 交易量

14%

icon for 麥克·約翰遜

麥克·約翰遜

$1,372 交易量

<1%

icon for 莎拉·烏爾里希

莎拉·烏爾里希

$1,936 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Ryan Elijah holds the strongest position in the Florida 7th Congressional District Republican primary, set for August 18, 2026, as recent internal polling and endorsements from local Republican leaders including Rep. Mike Haridopolos and Seminole County Sheriff Dennis Lemma have shifted momentum toward the former news anchor. Incumbent Cory Mills, who has raised the most funds but faces questions over performance and opposition attacks in recent debates, trails significantly in trader pricing. Lesser-known challengers Michael Johnson and Sarah Ulrich register minimal support, reflecting limited name recognition and resources. The primary’s timing leaves little room for further shifts absent major late developments, with the market reflecting consensus around Elijah’s path to the nomination in this solidly Republican district.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$49,288
結束日期
2026-08-18
市場開放時間
Jul 20, 2026, 6:11 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Ryan Elijah holds the strongest position in the Florida 7th Congressional District Republican primary, set for August 18, 2026, as recent internal polling and endorsements from local Republican leaders including Rep. Mike Haridopolos and Seminole County Sheriff Dennis Lemma have shifted momentum toward the former news anchor. Incumbent Cory Mills, who has raised the most funds but faces questions over performance and opposition attacks in recent debates, trails significantly in trader pricing. Lesser-known challengers Michael Johnson and Sarah Ulrich register minimal support, reflecting limited name recognition and resources. The primary’s timing leaves little room for further shifts absent major late developments, with the market reflecting consensus around Elijah’s path to the nomination in this solidly Republican district.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$49,288
結束日期
2026-08-18
市場開放時間
Jul 20, 2026, 6:11 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"FL-07共和黨初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Ryan Elijah" at 87%, followed by "Cory Mills" at 14%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 87¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 87% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "FL-07共和黨初選獲勝者" has generated $49.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 20, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "FL-07共和黨初選獲勝者," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "FL-07共和黨初選獲勝者" is "Ryan Elijah" at 87%, meaning the market assigns a 87% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Cory Mills" at 14%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "FL-07共和黨初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.