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政治·主要

FL-25共和黨初選獲勝者

icon for FL-25共和黨初選獲勝者
政治·主要

FL-25共和黨初選獲勝者

Scott Singer 82%

Dan Franzese 11%

George Moraitis 10%

Raven Harrison <1%

Polymarket

$38,502 交易量

Scott Singer 82%

Dan Franzese 11%

George Moraitis 10%

Raven Harrison <1%

Polymarket

$38,502 交易量

Scott Singer

$25,308 交易量

82%

Dan Franzese

$4,653 交易量

11%

George Moraitis

$7,198 交易量

10%

Raven Harrison

$598 交易量

<1%

Joseph Kaufman

$746 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Scott Singer holds a commanding position in the Florida 25th Congressional District Republican primary, scheduled for August 18, reflecting trader consensus around his name recognition as former Boca Raton mayor and a lead in the most recent 1892 Polling survey of likely primary voters. That survey placed Singer ahead of business owner Dan Franzese and former state representative George Moraitis, consistent with his fundraising edge and local profile in a district stretching from South Beach to Delray Beach. With the vote one day away, limited shifts in positioning or late endorsements have kept probabilities stable, while lower-priced alternatives including Raven Harrison and Joseph Kaufman remain marginal. The closely timed primary leaves room for final turnout or ballot dynamics to influence the outcome before resolution.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$38,502
結束日期
2026-08-18
市場開放時間
Jul 23, 2026, 3:29 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Scott Singer holds a commanding position in the Florida 25th Congressional District Republican primary, scheduled for August 18, reflecting trader consensus around his name recognition as former Boca Raton mayor and a lead in the most recent 1892 Polling survey of likely primary voters. That survey placed Singer ahead of business owner Dan Franzese and former state representative George Moraitis, consistent with his fundraising edge and local profile in a district stretching from South Beach to Delray Beach. With the vote one day away, limited shifts in positioning or late endorsements have kept probabilities stable, while lower-priced alternatives including Raven Harrison and Joseph Kaufman remain marginal. The closely timed primary leaves room for final turnout or ballot dynamics to influence the outcome before resolution.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$38,502
結束日期
2026-08-18
市場開放時間
Jul 23, 2026, 3:29 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"FL-25共和黨初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Scott Singer" at 82%, followed by "Dan Franzese" at 11%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 82¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 82% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "FL-25共和黨初選獲勝者" has generated $38.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 23, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "FL-25共和黨初選獲勝者," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "FL-25共和黨初選獲勝者" is "Scott Singer" at 82%, meaning the market assigns a 82% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Dan Franzese" at 11%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "FL-25共和黨初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.